La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sturm Graz v Rapid Wien
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sturm Graz (Local)
Predicción 47.04%2.13momio equitativo
EV -4.98%
Ventaja -2.46%
Kelly -4.88%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.57%47.18%47.06%49.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.921.912.0256.18%52.07%52.36%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rapid Wien (Visitante)
Predicción 26.96%3.71momio equitativo
EV +2.44%
Ventaja +0.641%
Kelly +0.870%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.06%26.83%26.98%28.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.463.8032.26%28.60%28.90%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.00%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.665%
Kelly -0.906%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.63%25.99%25.96%28.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.453.7533.33%28.75%28.99%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Casumo | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Unibet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV +2.44%E +0.641%K +0.870%G +0.021% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.22%EV -13.44%E -7.31%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.22%EV -13.44%E -7.31%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.15%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV +1.09%E +0.290%K +0.396%G +0.004% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 02:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -16.27%E -9.14%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -1.61%E -0.440%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -14.19%E -4.30%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-17 02:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.79%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-17 07:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Coolbet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -2.95%E -0.821%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -4.30%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV -5.09%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 07:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-17 07:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.99%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.65%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.26%EV -5.92%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.64%EV -3.53%E -0.952%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.06%EV -6.39%E -3.21%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.07%EV -6.73%E -1.94%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.87%EV -5.87%E -1.62%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 07:41 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.08%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.02%EV -7.00%E -2.03%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.32%EV -9.68%E -5.04%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 07:37 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -10.62%E -5.59%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.97%E -7.01%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-17 07:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.97%E -7.01%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -8.35%E -2.45%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -8.99%E -2.57%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-17 07:21 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -4.98%E -2.46%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.69%E -2.17%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.44%EV -7.80%E -3.98%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.69%E -2.89%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-17 07:28 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -8.27%E -4.24%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -2.49%E -0.665%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -8.74%E -4.51%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -6.39%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-17 07:41 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.92%E -2.96%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-17 07:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.15%E -5.31%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.56%EV -12.50%E -6.72%K -14.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.64%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-17 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.20%EV -13.91%E -7.60%K -16.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.62%EV -11.04%E -3.35%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.18%EV -21.99%E -7.33%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-05-17 07:21 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -6.86%E -3.46%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -12.39%E -3.81%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-17 07:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -11.56%E -6.15%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -13.74%E -4.29%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.29%E -2.98%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-17 07:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.44%EV -12.03%E -6.43%K -13.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.01%EV -16.43%E -5.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.54%EV -11.59%E -3.41%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-17 07:41 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.40% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95% | 1.4% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 08:21 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.64% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.53% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.83% | 1.9% | 2026-05-17 08:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.79% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.74% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 08:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.55% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.87% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 08:10 |