Language:English
Sturm Graz v LASK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 27.81%3.60fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.356%
Kelly -0.496%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.91%27.89%27.77%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.243.203.5532.79%30.87%31.25%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
LASK (Visit)
Prediction 45.66%2.19fair odd
EV -1.82%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.60%45.52%45.70%46.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.042.052.1552.63%49.14%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.504%
Kelly -0.691%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.59%26.52%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.25%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 27.81%; LASK (Visit): 45.66%; Draw: 26.52%. For Sturm Graz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -1.26%E -0.356%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.93%E -2.88%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.19%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.10%E -0.596%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.23%EV -4.56%E -2.18%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -2.66%E -0.725%K -0.997%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-22 18:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.36%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-22 18:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 07:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -12.32%E -6.42%K -13.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-22 18:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 27.88%EV -9.33%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 45.22%EV -8.21%E -4.09%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.89%EV -10.35%E -3.06%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 18:13 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.44%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.82%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 26.43%EV -10.35%E -3.06%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-22 18:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.87%E -0.504%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-22 18:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -13.24%E -6.97%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -12.78%E -6.69%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -11.41%E -5.88%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 18:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-04-22 18:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46% | 2.1% | 2026-04-22 18:25 |