L’École des cotes

Sturm Graz v LASK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 18:30 UTC

Score final : Sturm Graz 1–1 LASK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Sturm Graz (Local)

Prévision 27.81%3.60cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.356%
Kelly -0.496%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.91%27.89%27.77%29.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.243.203.5532.79%30.87%31.25%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

LASK (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.66%2.19cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.847%
Kelly -1.58%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.60%45.52%45.70%46.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.042.052.1552.63%49.14%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.52%3.77cote équitable
EV -1.87%
Avantage -0.504%
Kelly -0.691%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.25%26.59%26.52%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.25%29.41%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -1.26%E -0.356%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.93%E -2.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.19%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 18:24
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.10%E -0.596%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.23%EV -4.56%E -2.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -2.66%E -0.725%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 18:20
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:14
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:04
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:49
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 07:53
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:20
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 17:49
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:09
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:54
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:24
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:49
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:10
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -12.32%E -6.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 18:04
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 27.88%EV -9.33%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.22%EV -8.21%E -4.09%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.89%EV -10.35%E -3.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:13
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.44%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.82%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.43%EV -10.35%E -3.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 18:08
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.87%E -0.504%K -0.691%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 17:55
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 18:09
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -13.24%E -6.97%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:49
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:54
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 17:49
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -12.78%E -6.69%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 17:49
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 17:50
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -11.41%E -5.88%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-22 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-22 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-04-22 18:25
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-22 18:25