La escuela de los momios

Sturm Graz v LASK

Inicio: 2026-04-22 18:30 UTC

Final: Sturm Graz 1–1 LASK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sturm Graz (Local)

Predicción 27.81%3.60momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.356%
Kelly -0.496%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.91%27.89%27.77%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.243.203.5532.79%30.87%31.25%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

LASK (Visitante)

Predicción 45.66%2.19momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.847%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.60%45.52%45.70%46.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.042.052.1552.63%49.14%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.52%3.77momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.504%
Kelly -0.691%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.25%26.59%26.52%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.423.403.7031.25%29.25%29.41%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -1.26%E -0.356%K -0.496%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -5.93%E -2.88%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -3.19%E -0.874%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 18:24
Pinnacle3.52I 28.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.10%E -0.596%K -0.833%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.23%EV -4.56%E -2.18%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.33%EV -2.66%E -0.725%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-22 18:20
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:14
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -2.65%E -0.759%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -6.84%E -3.36%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 18:04
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 17:49
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.34%EV -1.82%E -0.847%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 07:53
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 18:20
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -5.44%E -1.60%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-22 17:49
NordicBet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:09
Betsson3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.50%E -2.46%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:54
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.83%E -2.04%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:54
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 18:24
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:49
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:10
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 18:09
Unibet (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.22%E -2.49%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -12.32%E -6.42%K -13.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-22 18:04
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 27.88%EV -9.33%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 45.22%EV -8.21%E -4.09%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.89%EV -10.35%E -3.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 18:13
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -9.61%E -2.96%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 17:50
Betclic (FR)3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.44%E -3.24%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.82%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.43%EV -10.35%E -3.06%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-22 18:08
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -1.87%E -0.504%K -0.691%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 17:55
Winamax (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.70%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -5.84%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 17:55
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.76%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.99%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-22 18:09
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -11.00%E -3.44%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.09%EV -13.24%E -6.97%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:49
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.60%EV -4.11%E -1.95%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -11.15%E -3.33%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -12.39%E -3.93%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -5.02%E -2.41%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -12.47%E -3.78%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:50
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -6.39%E -3.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -4.52%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:54
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.67%E -4.34%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -7.17%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 17:50
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.95%E -5.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 17:49
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.78%E -4.45%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -12.78%E -6.69%K -14.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-22 17:49
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.88%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.60%EV -7.76%E -3.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.52%EV -15.13%E -4.73%K -6.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 17:50
Winamax (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -15.17%E -4.97%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -11.41%E -5.88%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -9.82%E -2.89%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-22 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.42%1.0%2026-04-22 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-22 18:24
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%1.3%2026-04-22 18:25
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.46%2.1%2026-04-22 18:25