Language:English
Sturm Graz v Hartberg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 57.36%1.74fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.41%57.25%57.49%59.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.631.621.7166.67%61.39%61.73%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hartberg (Visit)
Prediction 18.79%5.32fair odd
EV +5.76%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
Growth +0.072%
assuming max odds 5.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.78%18.72%18.78%21.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.734.755.6324.39%21.14%21.05%17.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.86%4.19fair odd
EV -1.71%
Edge -0.416%
Kelly -0.549%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.82%24.03%23.73%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.743.704.1229.41%26.77%27.03%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 57.36%; Hartberg (Visit): 18.79%; Draw: 23.86%. For Hartberg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.32. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.63, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.76%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.49%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 17.12%EV +5.76%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.072% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.39%EV -1.71%E -0.416%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -8.80%E -5.53%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV +5.20%E +0.929%K +1.13%G +0.059% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.44%E +0.267%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.44%E +0.267%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.37%E -0.262%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.21%EV -1.75%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.29%EV -3.82%E -0.745%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -10.52%E -6.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -4.19%E -0.822%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 11:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -11.09%E -7.16%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -13.96%E -9.31%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 07:53 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 06:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.67%E -7.58%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -9.37%E -5.93%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -8.89%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.77%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 09:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.77%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -9.37%E -5.93%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -11.71%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -11.67%E -7.58%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -12.24%E -8.00%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -18.89%E -5.56%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.67%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -22.98%E -5.60%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -16.50%E -4.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.08% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |