مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sturm Graz v Hartberg

البداية: 2026-04-12 12:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Sturm Graz 0–0 Hartberg

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sturm Graz (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.36%1.74السعر العادل
EV -1.92%
الأفضلية -1.12%
Kelly -2.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
53.41%57.25%57.49%59.49%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.631.621.7166.67%61.39%61.73%58.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Hartberg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.79%5.32السعر العادل
EV +5.76%
الأفضلية +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
النمو +0.072%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.63

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.78%18.72%18.78%21.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.104.734.755.6324.39%21.14%21.05%17.76%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.86%4.19السعر العادل
EV -1.71%
الأفضلية -0.416%
Kelly -0.549%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.82%24.03%23.73%25.46%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.743.704.1229.41%26.77%27.03%24.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.49%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.12%EV +5.76%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.072%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.39%EV -1.71%E -0.416%K -0.549%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-12 12:00
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -8.80%E -5.53%K -14.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV +5.20%E +0.929%K +1.13%G +0.059%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-12 11:59
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.44%E +0.267%K +0.328%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.44%E +0.267%K +0.328%G +0.005%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.37%E -0.262%K -0.323%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 18.21%EV -1.75%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 11:59
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.29%EV -3.82%E -0.745%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Suprabets1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -10.52%E -6.74%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -4.19%E -0.822%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 11:56
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -11.09%E -7.16%K -20.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-12 12:00
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -13.96%E -9.31%K -27.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 07:53
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-12 06:40
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 11:59
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.67%E -7.58%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 12:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -9.37%E -5.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -8.89%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 12:00
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 09:00
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 09:00
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 09:00
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 08:59
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.77%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 09:40
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.77%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -9.37%E -5.93%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -11.71%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-12 12:00
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -11.67%E -7.58%K -21.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -12.24%E -8.00%K -23.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -18.89%E -5.56%K -7.87%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-12 12:00
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 01:59
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 02:00
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 02:00
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 02:00
Unibet (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 02:00
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 02:00
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 02:00
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 01:59
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 01:59
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 02:00
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 01:59
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 02:00
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.67%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -22.98%E -5.60%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -16.50%E -4.72%K -6.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-12 02:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%1.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.08%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68%2.6%2026-04-12 12:00