La escuela de los momiosSturm Graz v Hartberg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sturm Graz (Local)
Predicción 57.36%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.41%57.25%57.49%59.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.631.621.7166.67%61.39%61.73%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Hartberg (Visitante)
Predicción 18.79%5.32momio equitativo
EV +5.76%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +1.25%
Crecimiento +0.072%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.78%18.72%18.78%21.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.734.755.6324.39%21.14%21.05%17.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.86%4.19momio equitativo
EV -1.71%
Ventaja -0.416%
Kelly -0.549%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.82%24.03%23.73%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.743.704.1229.41%26.77%27.03%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.49%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 17.12%EV +5.76%E +1.02%K +1.25%G +0.072% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.39%EV -1.71%E -0.416%K -0.549%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -8.80%E -5.53%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV +5.20%E +0.929%K +1.13%G +0.059% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.44%E +0.267%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.09%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.45%EV +1.44%E +0.267%K +0.328%G +0.005% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -1.37%E -0.262%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.37%EV -4.79%E -2.88%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.21%EV -1.75%E -0.335%K -0.414%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.29%EV -3.82%E -0.745%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.89%EV -6.48%E -1.65%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Suprabets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.26%EV -10.52%E -6.74%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.82%EV -4.19%E -0.822%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 11:56 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -11.09%E -7.16%K -20.17%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.25%EV -13.96%E -9.31%K -27.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -6.07%E -1.21%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.93%E -3.62%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.07%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-12 07:53 |
| Bet Right | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.73%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-12 06:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.86%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -8.15%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 11:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.51%EV -11.67%E -7.58%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -7.95%E -1.62%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.24%EV -9.37%E -5.93%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -8.89%E -1.83%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| 888sport | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 09:00 |
| William Hill | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.49%EV -5.36%E -3.25%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.43%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-12 08:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.82%EV -8.23%E -5.14%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -9.83%E -2.05%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.65%E -4.75%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.77%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-12 09:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.93%EV -7.08%E -4.37%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.42%EV -10.77%E -2.27%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.65%EV -6.96%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.76%EV -9.37%E -5.93%K -16.16%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -11.71%E -2.49%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.58%E -1.14%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -13.58%E -2.95%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -11.73%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.58%EV -9.95%E -6.34%K -17.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -10.54%E -2.81%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -11.67%E -7.58%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -12.24%E -8.00%K -23.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -15.46%E -3.44%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -18.89%E -5.56%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Unibet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Casumo | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.72%EV -1.92%E -1.12%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -18.28%E -4.20%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 01:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -2.49%E -1.47%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.36%EV -20.16%E -4.74%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.22%EV -14.12%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.67%EV -6.51%E -3.99%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -22.98%E -5.60%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.99%EV -16.50%E -4.72%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-12 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 12:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.64% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57% | 1.0% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.08% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.68% | 2.6% | 2026-04-12 12:00 |