Language:English
Sturm Graz v Austria Wien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prediction 42.44%2.36fair odd
EV +1.85%
Edge +0.772%
Kelly +1.32%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.09%42.24%42.44%43.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.222.202.4050.00%44.95%45.45%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austria Wien (Visit)
Prediction 30.56%3.27fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.597%
Kelly -0.867%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.67%30.72%30.55%33.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.892.883.2138.02%34.56%34.72%31.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.01%3.70fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.695%
Kelly -0.962%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.96%27.04%27.01%28.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.323.303.6133.33%30.09%30.30%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sturm Graz (Local): 42.44%; Austria Wien (Visit): 30.56%; Draw: 27.01%. For Sturm Graz (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -19.64%E -7.47%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.28%E -5.25%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.36%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -2.51%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 20:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.86%E -3.34%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -18.98%E -6.33%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.88%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -1.92%E -0.597%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -12.30%E -4.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -12.30%E -4.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.44%E -5.16%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.44%E -5.16%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.78%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.68%EV -10.34%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-22 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -12.92%E -4.53%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.76%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.81%EV -11.69%E -3.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 22:03 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.27%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.31%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.42%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |