La escuela de los momios

Sturm Graz v Austria Wien

Inicio: 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sturm Graz (Local)

Predicción 42.44%2.36momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.772%
Kelly +1.32%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.09%42.24%42.44%43.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.222.202.4050.00%44.95%45.45%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Austria Wien (Visitante)

Predicción 30.56%3.27momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.597%
Kelly -0.867%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.67%30.72%30.55%33.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.892.883.2138.02%34.56%34.72%31.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.01%3.70momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.695%
Kelly -0.962%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.96%27.04%27.01%28.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.323.303.6133.33%30.09%30.30%27.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 15:05
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 15:05
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 15:05
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 15:05
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -19.64%E -7.47%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.28%E -5.25%K -7.75%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-19 15:05
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 22:04
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:45
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 00:15
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.36%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -2.51%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 20:05
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 15:04
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 22:04
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:00
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 11:00
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:35
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 17:09
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.86%E -3.34%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 17:14
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 20:00
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 20:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 20:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -18.98%E -6.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 15:05
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 19:50
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 19:50
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 43.88%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -1.92%E -0.597%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:24
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 20:40
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 22:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 22:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -12.30%E -4.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 22:05
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -12.30%E -4.29%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 22:04
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.44%E -5.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-22 22:05
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.44%E -5.16%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 15:04
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 19:50
Suprabets2.07I 48.31%NM 42.78%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.68%EV -10.34%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-23 12:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-22 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -12.92%E -4.53%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-22 22:04
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.76%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 26.81%EV -11.69%E -3.58%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 22:03
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-22 22:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.27%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.31%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.42%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000%18.3%2026-04-22 22:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%6.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%6.3%2026-04-23 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%6.3%2026-04-24 01:15
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%7.2%2026-04-23 22:05