L’École des cotesFrançais
Sturm Graz v Austria Wien
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Sturm Graz (Local)
Prévision 42.44%2.36cote équitable
EV +1.85%
Avantage +0.772%
Kelly +1.32%
Croissance +0.025%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.09%42.24%42.44%43.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.222.202.4050.00%44.95%45.45%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Austria Wien (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.56%3.27cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.597%
Kelly -0.867%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.21
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.67%30.72%30.55%33.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.892.883.2138.02%34.56%34.72%31.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 27.01%3.70cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -0.695%
Kelly -0.962%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.61
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.96%27.04%27.01%28.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.323.303.6133.33%30.09%30.30%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Casumo | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV +1.85%E +0.772%K +1.32%G +0.025% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.09%EV +1.00%E +0.422%K +0.728%G +0.007% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.22%EV -2.39%E -1.04%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -19.64%E -7.47%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -16.28%E -5.25%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-19 15:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -4.51%E -2.01%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.37%EV -6.21%E -2.81%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -5.89%E -1.91%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.22%EV -7.10%E -2.06%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 00:15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.40%EV -4.36%E -1.39%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -2.51%E -0.695%K -0.962%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 20:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -5.48%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.86%E -3.34%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.33%E -2.78%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -6.63%E -3.02%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -15.97%E -5.81%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -18.98%E -6.33%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -7.48%E -3.43%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -6.80%E -2.23%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.83%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.88%EV -7.91%E -3.64%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.67%EV -1.92%E -0.597%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.78%E -0.772%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:24 |
| Betway | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -5.28%E -1.70%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 20:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 17:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Neds | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -12.30%E -4.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Coral | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.08%EV -12.30%E -4.29%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.44%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.44%E -5.16%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -8.76%E -4.07%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -14.44%E -5.16%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -12.23%E -3.76%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 15:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.47%EV -10.03%E -4.73%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 19:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.78%EV -12.15%E -5.87%K -11.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.54%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.68%EV -10.34%E -3.11%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-23 12:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-22 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -12.92%E -4.53%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -8.18%E -2.41%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-22 22:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.76%EV -13.00%E -6.34%K -12.38%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -12.00%E -4.17%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.81%EV -11.69%E -3.58%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 22:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -11.39%E -3.93%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.88%E -3.30%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.27%EV -15.12%E -7.56%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.31%EV -17.50%E -6.48%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.42%EV -13.58%E -4.24%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-04-22 22:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.38% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |