语言:简体中文
Sturm Graz v Austria Lustenau
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Sturm Graz (主队)
预测 68.38%1.46公平赔率
EV -4.26%
优势 -3.04%
Kelly -10.66%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.40
博彩公司预测分布
65.41%68.44%68.25%70.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.341.331.4078.13%74.88%75.19%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
Austria Lustenau (客队)
预测 12.96%7.72公平赔率
EV +6.93%
优势 +0.840%
Kelly +0.956%
增长率 +0.066%
假设最高赔率为 8.25
博彩公司预测分布
11.41%12.94%13.11%14.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.007.157.138.2516.67%13.99%14.04%12.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 18.65%5.36公平赔率
EV +0.549%
优势 +0.102%
Kelly +0.125%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 5.39
博彩公司预测分布
17.52%18.62%18.64%20.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.854.905.3922.73%20.62%20.41%18.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sturm Graz (主队)：68.38%；Austria Lustenau (客队)：12.96%；平局：18.65%。 对于“Austria Lustenau (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.72。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为8.25，对应+6.93%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV +6.93%E +0.840%K +0.956%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.18%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.99%EV +3.95%E +0.492%K +0.563%G +0.022% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.84%EV +0.549%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +3.69%E +0.461%K +0.527%G +0.019% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -10.42%E -7.95%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +3.69%E +0.461%K +0.527%G +0.019% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -1.13%E -0.213%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV +1.10%E +0.141%K +0.161%G +0.002% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -1.13%E -0.213%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.40%EV -2.14%E -0.284%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 08:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.19%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 07:57 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.01%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.67%EV -5.38%E -0.737%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -15.12%E -3.32%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.01%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.67%EV -5.38%E -0.737%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -15.12%E -3.32%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -6.03%E -0.832%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 08:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 08:17 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.75%EV -10.42%E -7.95%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.30%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.16%EV -10.57%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35%EV -11.86%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.26%E -3.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -12.51%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -12.51%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -17.92%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -15.75%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -4.86%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -18.99%E -3.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 08:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.01% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.01% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.80% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.16% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.98% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.72% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |