Idioma:Español
Sturm Graz v Austria Lustenau
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sturm Graz (Local)
Predicción 68.38%1.46momio equitativo
EV -4.26%
Ventaja -3.04%
Kelly -10.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.41%68.44%68.25%70.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.341.331.4078.13%74.88%75.19%71.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Austria Lustenau (Visitante)
Predicción 12.96%7.72momio equitativo
EV +6.93%
Ventaja +0.840%
Kelly +0.956%
Crecimiento +0.066%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.41%12.94%13.11%14.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.157.138.2516.67%13.99%14.04%12.12%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 18.65%5.36momio equitativo
EV +0.549%
Ventaja +0.102%
Kelly +0.125%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.52%18.62%18.64%20.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.854.905.3922.73%20.62%20.41%18.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sturm Graz (Local): 68.38%; Austria Lustenau (Visitante): 12.96%; Empate: 18.65%. Para Austria Lustenau (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 7.72. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 8.25, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.93%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV +6.93%E +0.840%K +0.956%G +0.066% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.18%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 8.02I 12.47%NM 11.99%EV +3.95%E +0.492%K +0.563%G +0.022% | 5.39I 18.55%NM 17.84%EV +0.549%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001% | 4.0% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +3.69%E +0.461%K +0.527%G +0.019% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -10.42%E -7.95%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +3.69%E +0.461%K +0.527%G +0.019% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -1.13%E -0.213%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV +1.10%E +0.141%K +0.161%G +0.002% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -1.13%E -0.213%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.55I 13.25%NM 12.40%EV -2.14%E -0.284%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 08:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 07:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.19%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 07:57 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 08:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-19 08:43 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.01%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.67%EV -5.38%E -0.737%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -15.12%E -3.32%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.01%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.67%EV -5.38%E -0.737%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -15.12%E -3.32%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -6.03%E -0.832%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 08:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 07:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-22 08:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 08:17 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 68.75%EV -10.42%E -7.95%K -33.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-22 12:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 08:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-22 14:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.30%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.16%EV -10.57%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35%EV -11.86%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-22 12:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.26%E -3.04%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -12.51%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -12.51%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -17.92%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -15.75%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -4.86%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-22 12:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -18.99%E -3.04%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-22 11:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:43 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 08:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-22 08:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.01% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.01% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.80% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89% | 1.6% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.16% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.98% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.72% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |