Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Sturm Graz v Austria Lustenau

Początek: 2026-08-22 17:30 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Sturm Graz 1–1 Austria Lustenau

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

50 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Sturm Graz (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 68.38%1.46kurs godziwy
EV -4.26%
Przewaga -3.04%
Kelly -10.66%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.40

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.41%68.44%68.25%70.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.281.341.331.4078.13%74.88%75.19%71.43%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Austria Lustenau (Goście)

Prognoza 12.96%7.72kurs godziwy
EV +6.93%
Przewaga +0.840%
Kelly +0.956%
Wzrost +0.066%

przy maksymalnym kursie 8.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.41%12.94%13.11%14.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
6.007.157.138.2516.67%13.99%14.04%12.12%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 18.65%5.36kurs godziwy
EV +0.549%
Przewaga +0.102%
Kelly +0.125%
Wzrost +0.001%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.39

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
17.52%18.62%18.64%20.66%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.404.854.905.3922.73%20.62%20.41%18.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Sturm Graz (Gospodarze): 68.38%; Austria Lustenau (Goście): 12.96%; Remis: 18.65%. Dla wyniku Austria Lustenau (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 7.72. 5 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.25, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +6.93%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (50 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.75%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.41%EV +6.93%E +0.840%K +0.956%G +0.066%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 07:59
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.18%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000%8.02I 12.47%NM 11.99%EV +3.95%E +0.492%K +0.563%G +0.022%5.39I 18.55%NM 17.84%EV +0.549%E +0.102%K +0.125%G +0.001%4.0%2026-08-22 14:00
Coolbet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV +3.69%E +0.461%K +0.527%G +0.019%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 07:59
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -10.42%E -7.95%K -33.60%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +3.69%E +0.461%K +0.527%G +0.019%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -1.13%E -0.213%K -0.263%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 07:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.35%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.00%EV +1.10%E +0.141%K +0.161%G +0.002%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -1.13%E -0.213%K -0.263%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 09:04
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.86%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.55I 13.25%NM 12.40%EV -2.14%E -0.284%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 08:00
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.02%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 07:59
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 08:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 08:44
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 08:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 08:44
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 08:43
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 08:43
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 08:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.19%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.18%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-19 08:44
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-19 08:43
betfred_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.68%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -14.19%E -3.08%K -3.94%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 07:57
LiveScore Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 08:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 08:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 08:43
Virgin Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 69.44%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.85%EV -2.79%E -0.372%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-19 08:43
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.01%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.67%EV -5.38%E -0.737%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -15.12%E -3.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.01%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.67%EV -5.38%E -0.737%K -0.854%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.32%EV -15.12%E -3.32%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-22 15:15
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -6.03%E -0.832%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 08:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 07:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -6.31%E -4.61%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.95%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:04
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-22 08:00
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 14:05
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.84%EV -7.68%E -5.69%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 08:45
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -6.73%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:59
Suprabets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.86%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 08:17
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 08:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 08:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 68.75%EV -10.42%E -7.95%K -33.60%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.87%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.38%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-22 12:00
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.10%E -8.54%K -37.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 08:00
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -12.47%E -9.74%K -44.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -9.27%E -1.32%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 14:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.30%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.16%EV -10.57%E -1.53%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.54%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 14:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.35%EV -11.86%E -1.74%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 12:04
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.71%EV -4.26%E -3.04%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -12.51%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -10.46%E -2.18%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 08:44
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.87%EV -5.63%E -4.08%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -12.51%E -1.85%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -17.92%E -4.07%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 68.08%EV -8.37%E -6.24%K -24.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -15.75%E -2.42%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.89%EV -4.86%E -0.953%K -1.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-22 12:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.54%EV -9.73%E -7.37%K -30.42%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -18.99%E -3.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -8.59%E -1.75%K -2.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-22 11:59
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 08:45
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 08:43
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -7.00%E -5.15%K -19.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.05%E -3.57%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 08:44
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -9.05%E -6.80%K -27.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -22.23%E -3.71%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -11.39%E -2.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 08:19
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (5)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.01%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-08-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 70.01%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.04%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.80%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.30%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%1.6%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook◎1.40I 71.43%NM 70.16%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.98%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.86%1.8%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.40I 71.43%NM 69.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%2.4%2026-08-22 15:00