Language:English
Ried v WSG Tirol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ried (Local)
Prediction 47.35%2.11fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.02%47.36%47.35%48.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.951.952.0257.47%51.38%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
WSG Tirol (Visit)
Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.404%
Kelly +0.531%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 4.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%24.35%24.40%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.733.654.1728.99%26.82%27.40%23.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.26%3.54fair odd
EV -2.49%
Edge -0.721%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.55%28.29%28.25%29.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.4534.72%31.21%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ried (Local): 47.35%; WSG Tirol (Visit): 24.38%; Draw: 28.26%. For WSG Tirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.68%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.57%EV -5.77%E -2.90%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.18%EV +1.68%E +0.404%K +0.531%G +0.009% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.26%EV -3.33%E -0.975%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 15:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.51%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -0.999%E -0.246%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -2.49%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -2.46%E -0.616%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 15:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.68%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.68%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 15:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 15:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.88%EV -10.03%E -5.28%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.51%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.61%EV -10.12%E -3.18%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.12%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 15:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.53%EV -11.45%E -6.13%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.35%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -13.35%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.60%E -6.46%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.95%EV -11.45%E -6.13%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -13.44%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 15:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -15.87%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 47.98%EV -17.61%E -10.12%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -15.87%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |