L’École des cotes

Ried v WSG Tirol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ried (Local)

Prévision 47.35%2.11cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -2.15%
Kelly -4.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.02%47.36%47.35%48.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.741.951.952.0257.47%51.38%51.28%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

WSG Tirol (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.38%4.10cote équitable
EV +1.68%
Avantage +0.404%
Kelly +0.531%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 4.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.02%24.35%24.40%25.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.733.654.1728.99%26.82%27.40%23.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.26%3.54cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.721%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.55%28.29%28.25%29.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.203.203.4534.72%31.21%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.57%EV -5.77%E -2.90%K -5.83%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.18%EV +1.68%E +0.404%K +0.531%G +0.009%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.26%EV -3.33%E -0.975%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-14 15:55
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 15:40
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 15:40
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.51%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -0.999%E -0.246%K -0.327%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -2.49%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 15:50
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -2.46%E -0.616%K -0.821%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-14 15:14
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.68%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.68%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-14 15:19
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 15:15
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 15:35
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 15:30
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 47.88%EV -10.03%E -5.28%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 23.51%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.61%EV -10.12%E -3.18%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 15:55
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.12%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 15:39
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 15:20
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 15:20
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 15:20
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 15:20
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 15:15
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-14 15:14
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-14 15:49
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 15:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 15:15
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 15:20
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Virgin Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 12:04
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-14 15:15
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.53%EV -11.45%E -6.13%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 15:45
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 15:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.35%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-14 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -13.35%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.60%E -6.46%K -9.89%G +0.000%17.1%2026-03-14 15:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.95%EV -11.45%E -6.13%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -13.44%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-14 15:35
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 15:15
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-14 15:14
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -15.87%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 15:15
PMU (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 47.98%EV -17.61%E -10.12%K -23.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -15.87%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%19.8%2026-03-14 15:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-03-14 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-03-14 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-03-14 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-03-14 15:50
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47%1.8%2026-03-14 15:50