La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Ried v WSG Tirol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ried (Local)
Predicción 47.35%2.11momio equitativo
EV -4.35%
Ventaja -2.15%
Kelly -4.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.02%47.36%47.35%48.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.741.951.952.0257.47%51.38%51.28%49.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
WSG Tirol (Visitante)
Predicción 24.38%4.10momio equitativo
EV +1.68%
Ventaja +0.404%
Kelly +0.531%
Crecimiento +0.009%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.02%24.35%24.40%25.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.733.654.1728.99%26.82%27.40%23.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.26%3.54momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.721%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.55%28.29%28.25%29.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.203.203.4534.72%31.21%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.57%EV -5.77%E -2.90%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.18%EV +1.68%E +0.404%K +0.531%G +0.009% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.26%EV -3.33%E -0.975%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-14 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -0.024%E -0.006%K -0.008%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 15:40 |
| 1xBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.51%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV -0.999%E -0.246%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -2.49%E -0.721%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.23%EV -4.35%E -2.15%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -2.46%E -0.616%K -0.821%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.91%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-14 15:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.68%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -3.68%E -0.932%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-14 15:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.90%E -1.15%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.90%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 15:30 |
| Suprabets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.88%EV -10.03%E -5.28%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 23.51%EV -5.63%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.61%EV -10.12%E -3.18%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:55 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.88%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.25%EV -6.12%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -5.31%E -1.59%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 15:39 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-14 15:14 |
| Betway | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.67%E -3.93%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-14 15:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.14%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 15:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -8.61%E -4.46%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 15:20 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.02%EV -5.30%E -2.65%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.06%EV -6.25%E -3.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| LeoVegas | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.19%EV -6.72%E -3.41%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%EV -10.97%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -8.14%E -4.20%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -6.73%E -2.04%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.53%EV -11.45%E -6.13%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 15:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.40%E -6.70%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -13.35%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.65%EV -13.35%E -7.29%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.71%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.64%EV -18.60%E -6.46%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.95%EV -11.45%E -6.13%K -13.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.73%EV -13.44%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-14 15:35 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.26%EV -9.56%E -5.01%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.24%EV -14.65%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.50%EV -12.38%E -3.99%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-14 15:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -10.98%E -5.84%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -15.87%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -9.55%E -2.99%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 47.98%EV -17.61%E -10.12%K -23.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -15.87%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.83%EV -15.21%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-14 15:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-03-14 15:50 |