Language:English
Ried v Grazer AK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ried (Local)
Prediction 46.91%2.13fair odd
EV +0.848%
Edge +0.394%
Kelly +0.737%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.57%46.72%46.97%49.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.991.982.1553.48%50.33%50.51%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grazer AK (Visit)
Prediction 23.92%4.18fair odd
EV +5.74%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.096%
assuming max odds 4.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.73%24.10%23.90%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.713.714.4230.77%26.92%26.92%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.17%3.43fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.949%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.06%29.17%29.13%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.103.3235.71%31.98%32.26%30.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ried (Local): 46.91%; Grazer AK (Visit): 23.92%; Draw: 29.17%. For Grazer AK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.74%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.73%EV +5.74%E +1.30%K +1.68%G +0.096% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.34%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +2.63%E +0.613%K +0.799%G +0.021% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -3.15%E -0.949%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -1.92%E -0.467%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.66%E -3.35%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -8.11%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.66%E -3.35%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -8.11%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 18:23 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -10.88%E -5.73%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -12.29%E -6.57%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -9.47%E -4.91%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -12.29%E -6.57%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -11.35%E -6.00%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.90%EV -10.77%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.94%EV -10.15%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -9.00%E -4.64%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.97%EV -10.88%E -5.73%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.43%EV -16.28%E -5.67%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV +0.848%E +0.394%K +0.737%G +0.006% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -12.20%E -3.32%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 17:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -11.82%E -6.29%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -15.07%E -4.25%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -16.27%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -18.32%E -6.54%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 18:18 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -22.25%E -6.85%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-21 18:17 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69% | 2.0% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |