La escuela de los momiosRied v Grazer AK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ried (Local)
Predicción 46.91%2.13momio equitativo
EV +0.848%
Ventaja +0.394%
Kelly +0.737%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.57%46.72%46.97%49.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.991.982.1553.48%50.33%50.51%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grazer AK (Visitante)
Predicción 23.92%4.18momio equitativo
EV +5.74%
Ventaja +1.30%
Kelly +1.68%
Crecimiento +0.096%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.73%24.10%23.90%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.713.714.4230.77%26.92%26.92%22.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.17%3.43momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.949%
Kelly -1.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.06%29.17%29.13%30.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.133.103.3235.71%31.98%32.26%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.73%EV +5.74%E +1.30%K +1.68%G +0.096% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.34%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +2.63%E +0.613%K +0.799%G +0.021% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -3.15%E -0.949%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -1.92%E -0.467%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.66%E -3.35%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -8.11%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.66%E -3.35%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -8.11%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-21 18:23 |
| 888sport | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| William Hill | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Suprabets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -10.88%E -5.73%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -12.29%E -6.57%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -9.47%E -4.91%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -12.29%E -6.57%K -14.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -11.35%E -6.00%K -12.75%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.90%EV -10.77%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 28.94%EV -10.15%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-21 18:24 |
| Bet Right | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -9.00%E -4.64%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.97%EV -10.88%E -5.73%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.43%EV -16.28%E -5.67%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV +0.848%E +0.394%K +0.737%G +0.006% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -12.20%E -3.32%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 17:49 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Neds | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Coral | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -11.82%E -6.29%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -15.07%E -4.25%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -16.27%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -18.32%E -6.54%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Casumo | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 18:18 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 18:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -22.25%E -6.85%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-21 18:17 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67% | 0.6% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69% | 2.0% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |