L’École des cotes

Ried v Grazer AK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 18:30 UTC

Score final : Ried 2–1 Grazer AK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ried (Local)

Prévision 46.91%2.13cote équitable
EV +0.848%
Avantage +0.394%
Kelly +0.737%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.57%46.72%46.97%49.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.991.982.1553.48%50.33%50.51%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grazer AK (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.92%4.18cote équitable
EV +5.74%
Avantage +1.30%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.096%

avec la cote maximale 4.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.73%24.10%23.90%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.713.714.4230.77%26.92%26.92%22.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.17%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -0.949%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.06%29.17%29.13%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.103.3235.71%31.98%32.26%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.73%EV +5.74%E +1.30%K +1.68%G +0.096%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.02%EV -3.44%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.34%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.54%EV +2.63%E +0.613%K +0.799%G +0.021%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.12%EV -3.15%E -0.949%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-21 18:25
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.18%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.91%EV -1.92%E -0.467%K -0.618%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:25
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.66%E -3.35%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -8.11%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:20
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.96%EV -6.66%E -3.35%K -6.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.67%EV -8.11%E -2.58%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:20
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:15
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-21 18:23
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:25
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:24
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:25
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-21 18:25
Suprabets1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -10.88%E -5.73%K -12.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -4.31%E -1.08%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-21 18:25
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.50%E -1.39%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.70%E -1.72%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:20
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:25
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.15%EV -7.13%E -3.60%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.74%E -1.13%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:24
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:20
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.73%EV -12.29%E -6.57%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -9.09%E -2.39%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.79%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-21 18:20
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 46.79%EV -9.47%E -4.91%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-21 18:20
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.58%EV -12.29%E -6.57%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 18:25
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -10.29%E -2.74%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.40%E -5.31%K -8.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.16%EV -11.35%E -6.00%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.90%EV -10.77%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.94%EV -10.15%E -3.30%K -4.88%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-21 18:24
Bet Right1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -8.53%E -4.38%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -5.19%E -1.60%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-21 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.94%EV -9.00%E -4.64%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:20
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 45.97%EV -10.88%E -5.73%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.60%EV -11.49%E -3.10%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.43%EV -16.28%E -5.67%K -8.71%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-21 18:15
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.29%EV +0.848%E +0.394%K +0.737%G +0.006%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.95%EV -12.20%E -3.32%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.76%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 17:49
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.94%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-21 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 18:25
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 18:25
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -13.88%E -3.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-21 18:25
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.82%EV -11.82%E -6.29%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -15.07%E -4.25%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.39%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-21 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -10.41%E -5.45%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -16.27%E -4.65%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -18.32%E -6.54%K -10.18%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:19
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -1.50%E -0.713%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -18.66%E -5.49%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 18:18
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.75%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.03%EV -19.86%E -5.93%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.57%E -3.09%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-21 18:19
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -6.19%E -3.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -22.25%E -6.85%K -9.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -12.49%E -4.16%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-21 18:17
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.25%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-04-21 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%1.1%2026-04-21 18:20
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.69%2.0%2026-04-21 18:25