Language:English
RB Salzburg v Austria Wien
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
RB Salzburg (Local)
Prediction 60.71%1.65fair odd
EV -4.08%
Edge -2.58%
Kelly -7.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.60%60.68%60.75%63.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.531.5869.44%65.41%65.36%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Austria Wien (Visit)
Prediction 17.57%5.69fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +0.618%
Kelly +0.744%
Growth +0.027%
assuming max odds 5.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.80%17.57%17.60%19.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.085.005.9022.22%19.69%20.00%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.73%4.60fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -0.831%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.70%21.75%21.64%23.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.114.004.4727.78%24.35%25.00%22.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RB Salzburg (Local): 60.71%; Austria Wien (Visit): 17.57%; Draw: 21.73%. For Austria Wien (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.69. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV +3.65%E +0.618%K +0.744%G +0.027% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.55%EV +2.42%E +0.414%K +0.500%G +0.012% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.59%EV -2.88%E -0.645%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.80%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.83I 17.15%NM 16.43%EV +2.42%E +0.414%K +0.500%G +0.012% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.72%EV +0.132%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-22 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -1.62%E -0.290%K -0.353%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -3.38%E -0.615%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.38%E -0.615%K -0.751%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.14%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 16:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.14%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-22 16:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -5.14%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -5.14%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 16:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 16:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -5.93%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-22 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 16:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -8.65%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 16:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -11.97%E -8.26%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -10.41%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-22 16:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 16:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.67%EV -10.76%E -7.32%K -22.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -9.84%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-22 16:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -15.27%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -21.79%E -6.05%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-22 16:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.92%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-22 00:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 00:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 00:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.60%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-22 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-22 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.75%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.75%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -11.37%E -7.79%K -24.71%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-22 16:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.71%EV -8.33%E -5.52%K -16.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -20.95%E -4.66%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -17.44%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-22 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60% | 0.7% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97% | 1.1% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 16:24 |