L’École des cotes

RB Salzburg v Austria Wien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 16:30 UTC

Score final : RB Salzburg 3–1 Austria Wien

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

RB Salzburg (Local)

Prévision 60.71%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.08%
Avantage -2.58%
Kelly -7.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.60%60.68%60.75%63.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.531.5869.44%65.41%65.36%63.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Austria Wien (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.57%5.69cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +0.618%
Kelly +0.744%
Croissance +0.027%

avec la cote maximale 5.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.80%17.57%17.60%19.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.085.005.9022.22%19.69%20.00%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.73%4.60cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -0.831%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.70%21.75%21.64%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.114.004.4727.78%24.35%25.00%22.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -10.15%E -6.86%K -21.15%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.80%EV +3.65%E +0.618%K +0.744%G +0.027%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:19
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.55%EV +2.42%E +0.414%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.59%EV -2.88%E -0.645%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-22 16:19
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.80%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.43%EV +2.42%E +0.414%K +0.500%G +0.012%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.77%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:24
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.11%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.72%EV +0.132%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 16:15
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.39%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -1.62%E -0.290%K -0.353%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:24
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.04%EV -5.30%E -3.40%K -9.46%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -3.38%E -0.615%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 16:05
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -3.38%E -0.615%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:19
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.14%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:05
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.54%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.38%EV -5.14%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.66%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:05
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -5.14%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:04
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -5.14%E -0.951%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.79%EV -6.58%E -1.53%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.85%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.30%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 16:13
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.51%E -4.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -5.93%E -1.37%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:09
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.09%EV -5.90%E -3.81%K -10.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 16:14
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 16:04
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 60.07%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -10.92%E -2.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:14
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 16:19
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.22%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.77%E -1.48%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 16:14
Suprabets1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.53%EV -8.65%E -1.66%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 16:05
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.37%EV -11.97%E -8.26%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -10.41%E -2.04%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-22 16:20
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 16:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 16:19
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 16:00
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.12%E -4.65%K -13.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 16:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.67%EV -10.76%E -7.32%K -22.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.84%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -9.84%E -2.37%K -3.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-22 16:10
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.34%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.28%EV -15.27%E -3.92%K -5.27%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-22 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -12.16%E -2.43%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -21.79%E -6.05%K -8.38%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-22 16:19
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.72%EV -8.94%E -5.96%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.59%EV -13.92%E -2.84%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -4.41%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 16:14
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.88%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.25%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 00:09
Casumo1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:09
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:10
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:10
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:09
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:10
ATG (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:10
Svenska Spel1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -13.10%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 00:10
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.75%EV -12.58%E -8.74%K -28.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.42%EV -16.56%E -3.49%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-22 16:05
Virgin Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 57.60%EV -4.08%E -2.58%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.36%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.75%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 00:10
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 57.75%EV -4.69%E -2.99%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -14.18%E -3.59%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 00:10
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.30%EV -11.37%E -7.79%K -24.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -17.44%E -3.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -8.75%E -2.08%K -2.73%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-22 16:14
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.71%EV -8.33%E -5.52%K -16.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.36%EV -20.95%E -4.66%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -17.44%E -4.59%K -6.23%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-22 00:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.7%2026-04-22 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.52%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.60%0.7%2026-04-22 16:24
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.03%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.46%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-04-22 16:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-04-22 16:24
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%3.0%2026-04-22 16:24