Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rapid Wien v WSG Tirol

Início: 2026-09-18 17:30 UTC

Final: Rapid Wien 3–0 WSG Tirol

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Previsão 68.32%1.46odd justa
EV -4.35%
Vantagem -3.11%
Kelly -10.87%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.69%68.31%68.31%70.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.281.341.351.4078.13%74.41%74.07%71.43%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

WSG Tirol (Visitante)

Previsão 13.85%7.22odd justa
EV +10.79%
Vantagem +1.35%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescimento +0.166%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.61%13.76%13.95%15.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.906.666.508.0016.95%15.01%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 17.83%5.61odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.254%
Kelly -0.309%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.95%17.93%17.74%20.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.504.995.005.5322.22%20.02%20.00%18.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rapid Wien (Local): 68.32%; WSG Tirol (Visitante): 13.85%; Empate: 17.83%. Para WSG Tirol (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.22. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.79%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -10.50%E -8.01%K -33.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +10.79%E +1.35%K +1.54%G +0.166%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.84%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.73%EV +4.83%E +0.638%K +0.736%G +0.036%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.43%EV -1.40%E -0.254%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +3.86%E +0.515%K +0.594%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +3.86%E +0.515%K +0.594%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV +0.401%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.10%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -0.291%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:25
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 12.99%EV -0.429%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -9.07%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 08:55
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 06:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 15:05
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 06:54
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -12.55%E -9.80%K -44.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.42%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.72%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.34%EV -5.83%E -0.857%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94%EV -18.87%E -4.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.72%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.34%EV -5.83%E -0.857%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94%EV -18.87%E -4.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 07:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -19.77%E -4.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:14
Suprabets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.98%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.80%EV -8.60%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:56
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 07:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 06:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 07:55
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 03:54
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:05
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.33%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -14.42%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 03:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.38%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 03:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.38%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.38%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 04:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.38%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 04:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.22%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.64%EV -14.14%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.14%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -15.52%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.47%EV -10.50%E -8.01%K -33.87%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.49%EV -15.52%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.04%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 07:54
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.98%E -3.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:55
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.98%E -3.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 08:00
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.98%E -3.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.98%E -3.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -18.29%E -3.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -9.07%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 07:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-09-18 15:20
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-09-18 15:20