Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rapid Wien v WSG Tirol

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-18 17:30 UTC

Score final : Rapid Wien 3–0 WSG Tirol

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 68.32%1.46cote équitable
EV -4.35%
Avantage -3.11%
Kelly -10.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.69%68.31%68.31%70.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.341.351.4078.13%74.41%74.07%71.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

WSG Tirol (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.85%7.22cote équitable
EV +10.79%
Avantage +1.35%
Kelly +1.54%
Croissance +0.166%

avec la cote maximale 8.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.61%13.76%13.95%15.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.906.666.508.0016.95%15.01%15.38%12.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.83%5.61cote équitable
EV -1.40%
Avantage -0.254%
Kelly -0.309%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.95%17.93%17.74%20.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.995.005.5322.22%20.02%20.00%18.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rapid Wien (Local) : 68.32% ; WSG Tirol (Visiteur) : 13.85% ; Match nul : 17.83%. Pour WSG Tirol (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.22. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.00, soit une espérance positive de +10.79%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.88%EV -10.50%E -8.01%K -33.87%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV +10.79%E +1.35%K +1.54%G +0.166%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.52%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.84%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.04%G +0.000%7.57I 13.21%NM 12.73%EV +4.83%E +0.638%K +0.736%G +0.036%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.43%EV -1.40%E -0.254%K -0.309%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +3.86%E +0.515%K +0.594%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +3.86%E +0.515%K +0.594%G +0.023%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-17 08:35
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV +0.401%E +0.055%K +0.064%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-18 14:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.10%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.95%EV -0.291%E -0.040%K -0.047%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-18 15:25
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 12.99%EV -0.429%E -0.060%K -0.069%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.32%EV -9.07%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 15:30
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -1.94%E -0.352%K -0.430%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 08:55
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -7.29%E -1.40%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-18 06:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.08%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-18 15:05
William Hill🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.36%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.18%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-18 15:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:19
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 15:20
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 06:54
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.18%E -8.60%K -37.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 15:30
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 68.99%EV -12.55%E -9.80%K -44.81%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.61%EV -3.06%E -0.437%K -0.510%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.40%EV -14.42%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-18 15:30
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.72%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.34%EV -5.83%E -0.857%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94%EV -18.87%E -4.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:50
Betsson🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.72%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.34%EV -5.83%E -0.857%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.94%EV -18.87%E -4.15%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 12:49
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.87%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.94%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 07:55
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -6.52%E -0.966%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -19.77%E -4.39%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 15:14
Suprabets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.98%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.80%EV -8.60%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 12:56
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 07:55
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 06:55
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 07:55
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.27%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -6.39%E -1.22%K -1.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 03:54
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:00
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.42%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.58%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-14 04:05
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-18 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.33%EV -8.45%E -6.31%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -9.98%E -1.54%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.80%EV -14.42%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 03:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.38%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 03:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.38%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 04:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.38%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 04:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.38%EV -9.82%E -7.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.90%EV -11.37%E -1.78%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.72%EV -15.31%E -3.22%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-14 04:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.22%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.64%EV -14.14%E -2.28%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-18 15:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.14%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.64%EV -15.52%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.22%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.47%EV -10.50%E -8.01%K -33.87%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.49%EV -15.52%E -2.54%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.04%EV -12.63%E -2.58%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-18 15:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.58%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.21%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -5.50%E -1.04%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-18 07:54
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -10.85%E -2.17%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.98%E -3.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:55
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.98%E -3.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 08:00
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.98%E -3.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:58
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.67%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -16.91%E -2.82%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -17.98%E -3.91%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-18 07:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.29%EV -9.13%E -6.87%K -27.67%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -18.29%E -3.10%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.55%EV -9.07%E -1.78%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 07:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.12%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.23%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.2%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-09-18 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-09-18 15:20
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 70.93%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.46%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.61%1.4%2026-09-18 15:20