Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rapid Wien v Wolfsberger AC

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 16:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prediction 46.41%2.15fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.541%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%46.35%46.39%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.981.972.1355.56%50.59%50.76%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wolfsberger AC (Visit)

Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -0.143%
Edge -0.038%
Kelly -0.052%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.36%26.69%26.66%28.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.423.403.7531.75%29.28%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.96%3.71fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -0.814%
Kelly -1.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.93%26.96%26.95%28.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.393.453.6032.79%29.51%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rapid Wien (Local): 46.41%; Wolfsberger AC (Visit): 26.63%; Draw: 26.96%. For Wolfsberger AC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -0.143%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.15%E -0.541%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -3.47%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 15:55
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -0.143%E -0.038%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 15:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 15:55
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:49
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -16.12%E -5.12%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.47%E -0.399%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.47%E -0.399%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 15:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:55
Coolbet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -2.27%E -0.620%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.93%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:53
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:45
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:50
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:50
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:55
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:55
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -8.11%E -4.10%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.93%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:50
Bet Right🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 15:45
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:50
Suprabets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -10.90%E -5.68%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.73%EV -6.00%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -9.13%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:53
Betclic (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.79%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.92%EV -10.48%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 15:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 15:55
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.69%EV -11.83%E -6.22%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.82%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -12.75%E -6.78%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -15.54%E -8.54%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 01:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.26%EV -16.47%E -9.15%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -16.12%E -5.12%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.30%EV -17.76%E -5.82%K -8.66%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-21 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.3%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%6.3%2026-02-21 15:55