La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Rapid Wien v Wolfsberger AC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rapid Wien (Local)
Predicción 46.41%2.15momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.541%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.00%46.35%46.39%48.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.981.972.1355.56%50.59%50.76%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wolfsberger AC (Visitante)
Predicción 26.63%3.76momio equitativo
EV -0.143%
Ventaja -0.038%
Kelly -0.052%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.36%26.69%26.66%28.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.423.403.7531.75%29.28%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.96%3.71momio equitativo
EV -2.93%
Ventaja -0.814%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%26.96%26.95%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.393.453.6032.79%29.51%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.15%E -0.541%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -3.47%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -0.143%E -0.038%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 15:49 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -16.12%E -5.12%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.47%E -0.399%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.47%E -0.399%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -2.27%E -0.620%K -0.852%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.93%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -8.11%E -4.10%K -8.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.93%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -10.90%E -5.68%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.73%EV -6.00%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -9.13%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-21 15:53 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.79%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 26.92%EV -10.48%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 45.69%EV -11.83%E -6.22%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -12.75%E -6.78%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -15.54%E -8.54%K -18.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-02-21 01:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.26%EV -16.47%E -9.15%K -20.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -16.12%E -5.12%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.30%EV -17.76%E -5.82%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 20.1% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49% | 6.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |