L’École des cotes

Rapid Wien v Wolfsberger AC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 46.41%2.15cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.541%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.00%46.35%46.39%48.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.981.972.1355.56%50.59%50.76%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wolfsberger AC (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.63%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.143%
Avantage -0.038%
Kelly -0.052%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.36%26.69%26.66%28.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.423.403.7531.75%29.28%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.96%3.71cote équitable
EV -2.93%
Avantage -0.814%
Kelly -1.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%26.96%26.95%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.393.453.6032.79%29.51%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -1.15%E -0.541%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -2.54%E -1.21%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 44.59%EV -3.47%E -1.67%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 15:55
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 47.15%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -0.143%E -0.038%K -0.052%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-21 15:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 15:55
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:49
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -4.86%E -2.37%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -16.12%E -5.12%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:55
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.47%E -0.399%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 47.10%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.71%EV -1.47%E -0.399%K -0.546%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 15:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.04%EV -6.26%E -3.10%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.76%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:55
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.61%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.94%EV -2.27%E -0.620%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -2.93%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-20 05:35
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 46.66%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.29%EV -5.47%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:53
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:45
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 15:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:50
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.49%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.56%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:50
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.32%E -2.45%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:55
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -7.18%E -3.59%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 15:55
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.19%EV -8.11%E -4.10%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-20 05:35
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.39%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.93%E -0.814%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:50
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.49%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -6.80%E -1.94%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 15:45
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:34
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -8.58%E -4.35%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -10.79%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-21 15:55
Virgin Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 46.25%EV -9.04%E -4.61%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.28%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas1.95I 51.28%NM 46.38%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -6.97%E -2.02%K -2.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-20 05:35
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.51%E -4.87%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.86%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.70%EV -13.72%E -4.29%K -6.23%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:50
Suprabets1.92I 52.08%NM 47.31%EV -10.90%E -5.68%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.73%EV -6.00%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.96%EV -9.13%E -2.71%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-21 15:53
Betclic (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.79%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.92%EV -10.48%E -3.16%K -4.52%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.46%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 15:50
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -11.36%E -5.95%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.79%E -4.62%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -11.02%E -3.34%K -4.79%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 15:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 45.69%EV -11.83%E -6.22%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -12.13%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -16.41%E -5.29%K -7.82%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 15:50
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.56%EV -12.75%E -6.78%K -14.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -4.14%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -5.63%E -1.61%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 01:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.29%EV -15.54%E -8.54%K -18.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -8.13%E -2.36%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -9.67%E -2.89%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 01:04
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 46.26%EV -16.47%E -9.15%K -20.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -16.12%E -5.12%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.30%EV -17.76%E -5.82%K -8.66%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-21 15:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.3%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.79%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48%1.1%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.19%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%1.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.49%6.3%2026-02-21 15:55