Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rapid Wien v RB Salzburg

Kickoff: 2026-03-08 16:02 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prediction 25.65%3.90fair odd
EV +5.16%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.086%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%25.68%25.60%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.493.454.1031.75%28.66%28.99%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visit)

Prediction 48.37%2.07fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.78%48.33%48.39%50.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.911.912.0158.14%52.31%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -3.87%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%25.98%26.01%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.513.553.7033.33%28.49%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rapid Wien (Local): 25.65%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 48.37%; Draw: 25.98%. For Rapid Wien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.90. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +5.16%E +1.26%K +1.66%G +0.086%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.03%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:59
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.54%E -0.668%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.54%E -0.668%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Pinnacle🎯3.77I 26.53%NM 25.60%EV -3.31%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.02%EV -2.78%E -1.38%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.37%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 15:59
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:59
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:00
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
Suprabets🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%EV -8.44%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.67%EV -11.40%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:57
PlayUp🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 16:00
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.93%E -7.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -11.48%E -6.28%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -22.05%E -7.35%K -11.03%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.05%EV -10.88%E -3.17%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:58
PMU (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -16.80%E -9.77%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.86%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.00%E -5.98%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.96%E -3.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -11.48%E -6.28%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BetRivers🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
TABtouch🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.62%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -4.71%E -2.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -19.21%E -6.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%2.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-03-08 16:00