La escuela de los momios

Rapid Wien v RB Salzburg

Inicio: 2026-03-08 16:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Predicción 25.65%3.90momio equitativo
EV +5.16%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.66%
Crecimiento +0.086%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.42%25.68%25.60%28.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.493.454.1031.75%28.66%28.99%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

RB Salzburg (Visitante)

Predicción 48.37%2.07momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.01

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.78%48.33%48.39%50.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.911.912.0158.14%52.31%52.36%49.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV -3.87%
Ventaja -1.04%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%25.98%26.01%28.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.513.553.7033.33%28.49%28.17%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +5.16%E +1.26%K +1.66%G +0.086%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.03%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:59
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:59
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.54%E -0.668%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.54%E -0.668%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.60%EV -3.31%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.02%EV -2.78%E -1.38%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.37%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 15:59
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:59
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:00
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:00
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
Suprabets3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%EV -8.44%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.67%EV -11.40%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:57
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 16:00
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.93%E -7.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -11.48%E -6.28%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -22.05%E -7.35%K -11.03%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.05%EV -10.88%E -3.17%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:58
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -16.80%E -9.77%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.86%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.00%E -5.98%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.96%E -3.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -11.48%E -6.28%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.62%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -4.71%E -2.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -19.21%E -6.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%2.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-03-08 16:00