L’École des cotes

Rapid Wien v RB Salzburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 16:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 25.65%3.90cote équitable
EV +5.16%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.66%
Croissance +0.086%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.42%25.68%25.60%28.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.493.454.1031.75%28.66%28.99%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

RB Salzburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.37%2.07cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.78%48.33%48.39%50.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.911.912.0158.14%52.31%52.36%49.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.98%3.85cote équitable
EV -3.87%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.00%25.98%26.01%28.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.513.553.7033.33%28.49%28.17%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV +5.16%E +1.26%K +1.66%G +0.086%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.55%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.03%EV -4.13%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 15:59
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 15:59
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV +0.027%E +0.007%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 15:59
FanDuel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -2.54%E -0.668%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -2.54%E -0.668%K -0.906%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -9.55%E -5.11%K -10.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Pinnacle3.77I 26.53%NM 25.60%EV -3.31%E -0.877%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.02%EV -2.78%E -1.38%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.37%EV -4.90%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 15:59
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 15:59
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 16:00
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.10%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.13%E -3.71%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 15:59
Coolbet3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -6.38%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.13%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 15:59
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 16:00
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.67%E -2.13%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 15:59
Suprabets3.57I 28.01%NM 25.47%EV -8.44%E -2.36%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -8.10%E -4.26%K -9.00%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.67%EV -11.40%E -3.34%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 15:57
PlayUp3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -8.95%E -2.52%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-08 16:00
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -3.87%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-08 16:00
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.97%EV -10.23%E -2.92%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.55%EV -12.93%E -7.19%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.48%EV -14.26%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.98%EV -7.61%E -3.99%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 15:59
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.45%EV -11.51%E -3.34%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.54%EV -9.07%E -4.82%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -5.16%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -10.52%E -5.68%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-08 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -12.80%E -3.76%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -11.48%E -6.28%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -22.05%E -7.35%K -11.03%G +0.000%17.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.67%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -8.58%E -4.54%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.05%EV -10.88%E -3.17%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-08 15:58
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 25.03%EV -14.08%E -4.20%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 48.76%EV -16.80%E -9.77%K -23.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.21%EV -16.86%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%19.2%2026-03-08 16:00
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.83%EV -11.00%E -5.98%K -13.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Parions Sport (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.03%E -5.39%K -11.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.96%E -3.87%K -5.51%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BoyleSports3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.36%E -4.65%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -11.48%E -6.28%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-08 15:59
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 16:00
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -16.64%E -5.12%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -3.26%E -1.63%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.76%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 15:59
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:00
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -4.23%E -2.14%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-08 16:00
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.62%EV -6.16%E -3.18%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -6.46%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.90%EV -4.71%E -2.39%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 15:59
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -17.93%E -5.60%K -8.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -5.68%E -2.91%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-08 16:00
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.21%EV -19.21%E -6.10%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.04%EV -6.65%E -3.44%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.75%EV -10.36%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-08 16:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.20%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-03-08 16:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-03-08 16:00
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%2.1%2026-03-08 16:00
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.81%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.84%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.35%2.4%2026-03-08 16:00