Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 6.74
assuming max odds 4.39
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rapid Wien (Local): 62.20%; Grazer AK (Visit): 15.46%; Draw: 22.34%. For Grazer AK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.47. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.17%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -6.08%E -4.02%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.29%EV +4.17%E +0.619%K +0.727%G +0.030% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.94%EV -1.92%E -0.437%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.74%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.10%EV +2.01%E +0.304%K +0.359%G +0.007% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.74%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.10%EV +2.01%E +0.304%K +0.359%G +0.007% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +0.464%E +0.071%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.464%E +0.071%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.50%EV -4.21%E -2.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.85%EV +0.155%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -2.63%E -0.417%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -2.63%E -0.417%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -3.40%E -0.544%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.08%E -4.02%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.91%EV -11.67%E -8.22%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.02%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -8.81%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 16:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.03%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.44%EV -11.08%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 16:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -13.45%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -13.45%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.78%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.78%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.92%E -9.23%K -32.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -16.54%E -3.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |