Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rapid Wien v Grazer AK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 17:00 UTC

Score final : Rapid Wien 8–0 Grazer AK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rapid Wien (Local)

Prévision 62.20%1.61cote équitable
EV -4.21%
Avantage -2.73%
Kelly -7.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.54%62.23%62.19%63.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.401.481.481.5471.43%67.57%67.57%64.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Grazer AK (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.46%6.47cote équitable
EV +4.17%
Avantage +0.619%
Kelly +0.727%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 6.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.10%15.34%15.56%17.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.255.875.806.7419.05%17.02%17.24%14.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 22.34%4.48cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.437%
Kelly -0.566%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.71%22.43%22.25%23.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.754.014.004.3926.67%24.93%25.00%22.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rapid Wien (Local) : 62.20% ; Grazer AK (Visiteur) : 15.46% ; Match nul : 22.34%. Pour Grazer AK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.47. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 6.74, soit une espérance positive de +4.17%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -6.08%E -4.02%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.74I 14.84%NM 14.29%EV +4.17%E +0.619%K +0.727%G +0.030%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.94%EV -1.92%E -0.437%K -0.566%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-16 16:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.74%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.10%EV +2.01%E +0.304%K +0.359%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 63.74%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.10%EV +2.01%E +0.304%K +0.359%G +0.007%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +0.464%E +0.071%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:54
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.464%E +0.071%K +0.084%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 16:54
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.50%EV -4.21%E -2.73%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.48I 15.43%NM 14.85%EV +0.155%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 16:55
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -2.63%E -0.417%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 16:49
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -2.63%E -0.417%K -0.496%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 16:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -3.40%E -0.544%K -0.648%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-16 16:35
DraftKings🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 16:44
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.08%E -4.02%K -11.91%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 16:43
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 16:39
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 16:49
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 16:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:45
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-16 16:44
Bet Right🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-16 16:55
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 16:54
SportsBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.91%EV -11.67%E -8.22%K -27.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 16:54
Suprabets🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.02%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -8.81%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 16:36
Codere (IT)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 16:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:39
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:44
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:44
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:44
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-16 16:44
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.03%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.44%EV -11.08%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 16:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -13.45%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-16 16:39
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -13.45%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-16 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.78%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.78%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-16 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.92%E -9.23%K -32.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-16 16:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -16.54%E -3.06%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-16 16:39
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:35
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-16 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-08-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06%0.8%2026-08-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-16 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-08-16 16:55
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%1.4%2026-08-16 16:55