Idioma:Español
Rapid Wien v Grazer AK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rapid Wien (Local)
Predicción 62.20%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.21%
Ventaja -2.73%
Kelly -7.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.54%62.23%62.19%63.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.481.481.5471.43%67.57%67.57%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Grazer AK (Visitante)
Predicción 15.46%6.47momio equitativo
EV +4.17%
Ventaja +0.619%
Kelly +0.727%
Crecimiento +0.030%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.10%15.34%15.56%17.07%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.255.875.806.7419.05%17.02%17.24%14.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 22.34%4.48momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.437%
Kelly -0.566%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.71%22.43%22.25%23.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.014.004.3926.67%24.93%25.00%22.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Rapid Wien (Local): 62.20%; Grazer AK (Visitante): 15.46%; Empate: 22.34%. Para Grazer AK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 6.47. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.74, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.17%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.78%EV -6.08%E -4.02%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.74I 14.84%NM 14.29%EV +4.17%E +0.619%K +0.727%G +0.030% | 4.39I 22.78%NM 21.94%EV -1.92%E -0.437%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.74%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.10%EV +2.01%E +0.304%K +0.359%G +0.007% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.74%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.10%EV +2.01%E +0.304%K +0.359%G +0.007% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +0.464%E +0.071%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.95%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +0.464%E +0.071%K +0.084%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.50%EV -4.21%E -2.73%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 6.48I 15.43%NM 14.85%EV +0.155%E +0.024%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -2.63%E -0.417%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.44%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.63%EV -2.63%E -0.417%K -0.496%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.30%EV -5.45%E -3.59%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.15%EV -3.40%E -0.544%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.07%EV -6.08%E -4.02%K -11.91%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 16:43 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-16 16:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.31%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -13.98%E -3.63%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.14%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.58%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.78%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 61.91%EV -11.67%E -8.22%K -27.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%EV -7.26%E -1.21%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.22%E -4.32%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.02%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.35%EV -8.81%E -1.49%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.64%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 16:36 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.64%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.67%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.68%EV -11.05%E -7.73%K -25.70%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.45%EV -10.36%E -1.79%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.86%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.95%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.90%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.15%EV -11.75%E -2.97%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.93%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.62%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.03%EV -10.43%E -7.24%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.53%EV -11.13%E -1.94%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 22.44%EV -11.08%E -2.78%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 16:38 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -8.56%E -5.83%K -18.22%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.28%EV -13.45%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.16%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.84%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -13.45%E -2.40%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.09%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -6.70%E -4.46%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 60.62%EV -9.19%E -6.29%K -19.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.09%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-16 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.78%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.78%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.02%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -15.10%E -3.97%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-16 16:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.32%EV -12.92%E -9.23%K -32.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.86%EV -14.99%E -2.73%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.81%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-16 16:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -9.81%E -6.76%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -16.54%E -3.06%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-16 16:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.54%EV -7.94%E -5.37%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.07%EV -18.86%E -3.59%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-16 16:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.45% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15% | 0.5% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.16% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.06% | 0.8% | 2026-08-16 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.82% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 16:55 |