Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.48
assuming max odds 7.50
assuming max odds 5.08
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 65.94%; Ried (Visit): 14.59%; Draw: 19.47%. For Ried (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.86. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.40%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +9.40%E +1.25%K +1.45%G +0.136% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 16:43 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 7.18I 13.93%NM 13.39%EV +4.73%E +0.659%K +0.766%G +0.036% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 18.92%EV -1.07%E -0.210%K -0.262%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV +2.11%E +0.301%K +0.351%G +0.007% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.47%EV -8.35%E -6.00%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +2.11%E +0.301%K +0.351%G +0.007% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.47%EV -8.35%E -6.00%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +2.11%E +0.301%K +0.351%G +0.007% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 17:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -9.66%E -7.05%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +2.11%E +0.301%K +0.351%G +0.007% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -1.54%E -0.228%K -0.268%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-14 17:22 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -9.00%E -6.53%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -9.00%E -6.53%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.42%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 17:08 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.75%EV -12.30%E -9.25%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -15.67%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -12.30%E -9.25%K -37.28%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -12.96%E -9.82%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -6.64%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -12.96%E -9.82%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -6.64%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -12.96%E -9.82%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -6.64%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -12.96%E -9.82%K -40.50%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -6.64%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.06%EV -2.41%E -1.63%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 6.35I 15.75%NM 15.16%EV -7.37%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.87I 20.53%NM 19.77%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -8.10%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -8.10%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.42%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-14 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.05%E -3.51%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.05%E -3.51%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.05%E -3.51%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.05%E -3.51%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -9.00%E -6.53%K -23.70%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.20%EV -8.35%E -6.00%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -10.42%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -17.23%E -4.05%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-14 17:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.38%EV -9.66%E -7.05%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.69%EV -11.39%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-14 17:03 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.68%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-14 17:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -8.35%E -6.00%K -21.40%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -15.40%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.28%EV -9.66%E -7.05%K -26.12%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.69%EV -16.85%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.47%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 0.8% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.66% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.93% | 1.6% | 2026-08-14 17:24 |