The School of Odds
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LASK v Ried

2026-08-14 17:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

LASK (Local)

Prediction 62.77%1.59fair odd
EV -7.09%
Edge -4.79%
Kelly -14.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.31%62.74%62.68%65.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.441.441.4872.46%69.56%69.44%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ried (Visit)

Prediction 15.75%6.35fair odd
EV +2.38%
Edge +0.366%
Kelly +0.433%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.31%15.81%15.88%17.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.775.836.5020.00%17.33%17.17%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.47%4.66fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -0.747%
Kelly -0.961%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.66%21.45%21.44%22.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.184.204.5025.64%23.90%23.81%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: LASK (Local): 62.77%; Ried (Visit): 15.75%; Draw: 21.47%. For Ried (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.35. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.50, producing a positive expected value of +2.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -8.98%E -6.19%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV +2.38%E +0.366%K +0.433%G +0.010%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -3.36%E -0.747%K -0.961%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-09 10:54
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -10.23%E -7.16%K -23.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV +2.38%E +0.366%K +0.433%G +0.010%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -3.36%E -0.747%K -0.961%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-09 10:54
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.27%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.78%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 14.96%EV -1.40%E -0.223%K -0.266%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 12:15
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.72%EV -7.72%E -5.25%K -16.43%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%EV -1.56%E -0.249%K -0.296%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -5.51%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 10:55
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.17%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -5.49%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -5.51%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-09 10:59
Bet Right🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.18%EV -8.98%E -6.19%K -19.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -5.49%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%EV -8.73%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 10:54
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -5.49%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.26%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-09 12:10
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -5.49%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.10%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -5.49%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.10%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -5.49%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.10%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.50%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -5.49%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -14.10%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-09 11:45
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -12.12%E -8.65%K -30.29%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -5.49%E -0.916%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -9.81%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-09 10:53
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.00%EV -13.37%E -9.69%K -35.19%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.97%EV -7.07%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.03%EV -9.81%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-09 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -7.09%E -4.79%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -9.43%E -1.64%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -8.73%E -2.05%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-09 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.18%EV -8.35%E -5.72%K -18.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.21%EV -11.79%E -2.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -9.81%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-09 11:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.00%EV -12.74%E -9.17%K -32.68%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.64%EV -11.79%E -2.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.36%EV -11.95%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-09 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.37%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.81%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 11:00
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.37%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.81%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.37%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.81%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 11:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -13.37%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -9.81%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-09 11:00
Suprabets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.37%E -2.43%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -16.25%E -4.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 12:17
Betclic (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.97%EV -11.49%E -8.15%K -28.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.18%EV -14.94%E -2.77%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -14.10%E -3.53%K -4.70%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-09 11:48
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.24%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.91%EV -16.52%E -3.12%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.84%EV -7.66%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-09 11:49
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 61.51%EV -12.12%E -8.65%K -30.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.40%EV -17.31%E -3.30%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -16.25%E -4.17%K -5.60%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-09 10:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.75%EV -10.86%E -7.65%K -25.86%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.86%EV -18.09%E -3.48%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -11.95%E -2.92%K -3.86%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-09 11:50
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -9.61%E -6.67%K -21.83%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -21.24%E -4.25%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -9.81%E -2.33%K -3.06%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-09 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 61.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.56%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.37%16.1%2026-08-09 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 33.43%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.43%169.5%2026-08-09 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 33.43%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.43%169.5%2026-08-09 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.11I 90.09%NM 33.43%1.12I 89.29%NM 33.13%1.11I 90.09%NM 33.43%169.5%2026-08-09 12:50