默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

LASK v Ried

开赛时间: 2026-08-14 17:30 UTC

最终结果: LASK 4–1 Ried

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

50 家博彩公司 (18 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

LASK (主队)

预测 65.94%1.52公平赔率
EV -2.41%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -5.02%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布
63.66%66.02%65.82%68.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.391.381.4875.76%72.18%72.20%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ried (客队)

预测 14.59%6.86公平赔率
EV +9.40%
优势 +1.25%
Kelly +1.45%
增长率 +0.136%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.43%14.45%14.59%15.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.376.457.5017.54%15.69%15.50%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.47%5.13公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.210%
Kelly -0.262%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.08

博彩公司预测分布
18.27%19.52%19.59%21.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.254.714.755.0823.53%21.25%21.05%19.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:LASK (主队):65.94%;Ried (客队):14.59%;平局:19.47%。 对于“Ried (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为6.86。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为7.50,对应+9.40%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +9.40%E +1.25%K +1.45%G +0.136%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:43
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.69%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000%7.18I 13.93%NM 13.39%EV +4.73%E +0.659%K +0.766%G +0.036%5.08I 19.69%NM 18.92%EV -1.07%E -0.210%K -0.262%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 17:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.31%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV +2.11%E +0.301%K +0.351%G +0.007%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 17:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.47%EV -8.35%E -6.00%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +2.11%E +0.301%K +0.351%G +0.007%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 17:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.47%EV -8.35%E -6.00%K -21.40%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV +2.11%E +0.301%K +0.351%G +0.007%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 17:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -9.66%E -7.05%K -26.12%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV +2.11%E +0.301%K +0.351%G +0.007%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -1.54%E -0.228%K -0.268%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 17:19
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 17:24
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 17:19
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 17:22
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.90%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:59
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -9.00%E -6.53%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-14 17:19
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Grosvenor🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Unibet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 67.67%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.06%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -2.63%E -0.525%K -0.657%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:59
Suprabets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.12%EV -9.00%E -6.53%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -10.42%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 17:08
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.75%EV -12.30%E -9.25%K -37.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.86%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.39%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 16:59
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.16%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -15.67%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-14 16:44
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.36%EV -12.30%E -9.25%K -37.28%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -5.19%E -0.798%K -0.943%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.06%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-14 16:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -12.96%E -9.82%K -40.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -6.64%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -12.96%E -9.82%K -40.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -6.64%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -12.96%E -9.82%K -40.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -6.64%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.51%EV -12.96%E -9.82%K -40.50%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.92%EV -6.64%E -1.04%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.57%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 16:59
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.06%EV -2.41%E -1.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 15.16%EV -7.37%E -1.16%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.77%EV -5.16%E -1.06%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 17:24
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -8.10%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 17:24
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.68%EV -8.10%E -1.29%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.02%EV -10.98%E -8.14%K -31.38%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.61%EV -11.02%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -10.42%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-14 17:04
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 17:24
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 17:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.05%E -3.51%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.05%E -3.51%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 17:24
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.05%E -3.51%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 17:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -5.05%E -3.51%K -11.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-14 17:24
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.90%EV -9.00%E -6.53%K -23.70%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -6.52%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-14 16:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.20%EV -8.35%E -6.00%K -21.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.70%EV -10.42%E -2.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-14 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -6.37%E -4.48%K -15.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -17.23%E -4.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-14 17:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 17:19
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 17:19
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.69%E -5.49%K -19.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -14.31%E -3.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-14 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.38%EV -9.66%E -7.05%K -26.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.69%EV -11.39%E -2.50%K -3.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-14 17:03
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.32%E -7.59%K -28.68%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -12.48%E -2.08%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.36%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-14 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -8.35%E -6.00%K -21.40%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -15.40%E -2.65%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -4.57%E -0.934%K -1.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-14 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.28%EV -9.66%E -7.05%K -26.12%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.69%EV -16.85%E -2.96%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.03%EV -8.47%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-08-14 17:24
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.75%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.10%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.15%0.4%2026-08-14 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.51%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.41%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-08-14 17:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.66%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.35%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.2%2026-08-14 17:24
Smarkets◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.41%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.67%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.93%1.6%2026-08-14 17:24