Language:English
LASK v RB Salzburg
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
LASK (Local)
Prediction 35.19%2.84fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.657%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.79
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.42%35.12%35.15%36.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.622.622.7942.02%38.16%38.17%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
RB Salzburg (Visit)
Prediction 38.75%2.58fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.932%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.92%38.86%38.78%40.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.322.5246.51%42.67%43.10%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.06%3.84fair odd
EV -0.959%
Edge -0.252%
Kelly -0.342%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%26.02%26.07%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.503.503.8032.26%28.54%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: LASK (Local): 35.19%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 38.75%; Draw: 26.06%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.959%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -1.83%E -0.657%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.03%EV -5.45%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -4.65%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -2.35%E -0.932%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.24%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.16%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.16%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 22:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%EV -5.84%E -2.40%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -9.30%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 01:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.77%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -7.46%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -6.22%E -2.57%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -6.22%E -2.57%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.76%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 03:07 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -0.959%E -0.252%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 00:53 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 15:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.49%EV -9.93%E -3.88%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 26.65%EV -11.12%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 03:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.959%E -0.252%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.94%E -3.80%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 00:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -16.69%E -7.76%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 00:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -15.55%E -6.48%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -15.55%E -6.48%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -16.26%E -6.83%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-03 13:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.50% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.91% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 01:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.04% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |