La escuela de los momiosEspañol
LASK v RB Salzburg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
LASK (Local)
Predicción 35.19%2.84momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -0.657%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.42%35.12%35.15%36.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.622.622.7942.02%38.16%38.17%35.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
RB Salzburg (Visitante)
Predicción 38.75%2.58momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.932%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.92%38.86%38.78%40.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.322.5246.51%42.67%43.10%39.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.06%3.84momio equitativo
EV -0.959%
Ventaja -0.252%
Kelly -0.342%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.55%26.02%26.07%27.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.503.8032.26%28.54%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -1.83%E -0.657%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.03%EV -5.45%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-09 11:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 17:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-09 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -4.65%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -2.35%E -0.932%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.24%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-09 22:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.16%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.16%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-09 22:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%EV -5.84%E -2.40%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -9.30%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 22:14 |
| Bovada | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 01:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.77%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -7.46%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-03 15:20 |
| Betsson | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -6.22%E -2.57%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| NordicBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -6.22%E -2.57%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| Betway | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-10 00:44 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 23:25 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 23:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-09 23:24 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.76%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-10 03:07 |
| FanDuel | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -0.959%E -0.252%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 00:53 |
| BetMGM | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 15:15 |
| Suprabets | 2.56I 39.06%NM 35.49%EV -9.93%E -3.88%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 26.65%EV -11.12%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-10 03:08 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.959%E -0.252%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.94%E -3.80%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 00:44 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -16.69%E -7.76%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-10 00:53 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-07 15:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-09 22:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -15.55%E -6.48%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -15.55%E -6.48%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-09 22:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -16.26%E -6.83%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-03 13:58 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.50% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.91% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60% | 2.8% | 2026-05-10 01:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46% | 3.4% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.04% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |