L’École des cotes

LASK v RB Salzburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 15:00 UTC

Score final : LASK 2–1 RB Salzburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

LASK (Local)

Prévision 35.19%2.84cote équitable
EV -1.83%
Avantage -0.657%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.42%35.12%35.15%36.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.622.622.7942.02%38.16%38.17%35.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

RB Salzburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.75%2.58cote équitable
EV -2.35%
Avantage -0.932%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.92%38.86%38.78%40.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.322.5246.51%42.67%43.10%39.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.06%3.84cote équitable
EV -0.959%
Avantage -0.252%
Kelly -0.342%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.55%26.02%26.07%27.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.503.503.8032.26%28.54%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.79I 35.84%NM 34.14%EV -1.83%E -0.657%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.03%EV -5.45%E -2.23%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 11:09
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:00
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:04
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 17:00
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.66%EV -3.24%E -1.18%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.90%EV -10.10%E -4.35%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 16:59
Pinnacle2.71I 36.90%NM 35.54%EV -4.65%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.22%EV -2.35%E -0.932%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.24%EV -4.35%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 00:54
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 35.19%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -5.06%E -2.07%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 22:25
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 15:20
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 15:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 15:20
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.71%EV -5.00%E -1.85%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -11.65%E -5.11%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-03 15:20
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.16%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 22:24
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.16%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.30%EV -4.67%E -1.90%K -3.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 22:25
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%EV -5.70%E -2.13%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.39%EV -5.84%E -2.40%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -9.30%E -2.67%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 22:14
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 01:15
theScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 22:20
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.76%E -2.55%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.77%E -3.27%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 22:20
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.42%EV -7.46%E -2.84%K -4.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.95%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-03 15:20
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -6.22%E -2.57%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 22:09
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.45%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.38%EV -6.22%E -2.57%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-09 22:09
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.36%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-10 00:44
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 23:25
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 23:24
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 23:24
Betclic (FR)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.76%EV -7.81%E -2.98%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.59%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -7.47%E -2.11%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-10 03:07
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -0.959%E -0.252%K -0.342%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 00:53
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -8.52%E -3.28%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 15:15
Suprabets2.56I 39.06%NM 35.49%EV -9.93%E -3.88%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 26.65%EV -11.12%E -3.26%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-10 03:08
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -0.959%E -0.252%K -0.342%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 00:54
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -8.94%E -3.80%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 00:54
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.62%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.49%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 22:20
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.00%E -2.92%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 00:44
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.28%E -4.03%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -16.69%E -7.76%K -14.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-09 22:20
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-10 00:53
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-07 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-07 15:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-07 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -12.04%E -4.81%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-07 15:10
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.16%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.52%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.31%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-10 00:55
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.54%EV -13.80%E -5.63%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.58%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.88%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-09 22:20
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 36.33%EV -15.55%E -6.48%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.75%EV -12.81%E -5.69%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.91%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-10 00:55
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -15.55%E -6.48%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.75%E -6.70%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%15.7%2026-05-09 22:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -16.26%E -6.83%K -11.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -10.87%E -4.73%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -19.20%E -6.19%K -9.14%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-03 13:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 35.50%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.91%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.60%2.8%2026-05-10 01:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.4%2026-05-10 01:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.4%2026-05-10 01:44
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.46%3.4%2026-05-10 01:44
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.04%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.35%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%4.1%2026-05-10 01:44