Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.15
assuming max odds 2.42
assuming max odds 3.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartberg (Local): 31.00%; Ried (Visit): 41.29%; Draw: 27.71%. For Ried (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.422. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.420, with an expected value of -0.088%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -10.41%E -4.80%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%EV -1.74%E -0.731%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -14.95%E -7.26%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -10.82%E -5.01%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -7.62%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -7.62%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.33%EV -7.93%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.86%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -0.789%E -0.220%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.55%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -8.55%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 31.45%EV -10.41%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -10.49%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.72%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.65%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.65%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.15%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.05%EV -16.92%E -6.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.04%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.92%EV -17.69%E -5.96%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-30 14:53 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |