Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hartberg v Ried

Início: 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Final: Hartberg 3–2 Ried

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hartberg (Local)

Previsão 31.00%3.23odd justa
EV -2.35%
Vantagem -0.745%
Kelly -1.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.46%30.91%31.00%32.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.682.983.003.1537.31%33.57%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ried (Visitante)

Previsão 41.29%2.42odd justa
EV -0.088%
Vantagem -0.036%
Kelly -0.062%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.94%41.33%41.34%43.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.022.192.172.4249.50%45.67%46.08%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.71%3.61odd justa
EV -0.789%
Vantagem -0.220%
Kelly -0.306%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.58%27.76%27.66%29.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.973.323.303.5833.67%30.11%30.30%27.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hartberg (Local): 31.00%; Ried (Visitante): 41.29%; Empate: 27.71%. Para Ried (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.422. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.420, com valor esperado de -0.088%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -10.41%E -4.80%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:50
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:50
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:50
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%EV -1.74%E -0.731%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:48
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -14.95%E -7.26%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-30 14:50
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 14:49
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 14:49
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -10.82%E -5.01%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 14:55
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-30 13:54
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 14:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 14:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -7.62%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -7.62%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:55
1xBet🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 32.33%EV -7.93%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.86%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -0.789%E -0.220%K -0.306%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.55%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -8.55%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:50
Betsson🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-30 14:54
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 14:50
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 14:50
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Suprabets🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 31.45%EV -10.41%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -10.49%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.72%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.65%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.65%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-30 14:50
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.15%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-30 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 32.05%EV -16.92%E -6.31%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.04%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 28.92%EV -17.69%E -5.96%K -8.98%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-30 14:53
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Matchbook◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Smarkets◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%2.1%2026-08-30 14:55