Idioma:Español
Hartberg v Ried
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hartberg (Local)
Predicción 31.00%3.23momio equitativo
EV -2.35%
Ventaja -0.745%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.46%30.91%31.00%32.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.682.983.003.1537.31%33.57%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ried (Visitante)
Predicción 41.29%2.42momio equitativo
EV -0.088%
Ventaja -0.036%
Kelly -0.062%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.94%41.33%41.34%43.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.022.192.172.4249.50%45.67%46.08%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.71%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.789%
Ventaja -0.220%
Kelly -0.306%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.58%27.76%27.66%29.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.973.323.303.5833.67%30.11%30.30%27.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Hartberg (Local): 31.00%; Ried (Visitante): 41.29%; Empate: 27.71%. Para Ried (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.422. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.420, con un valor esperado de -0.088%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -10.41%E -4.80%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 13:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -2.35%E -0.745%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.90%E -1.26%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -4.21%E -1.36%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.68%EV -1.74%E -0.731%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.98%EV -4.11%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -3.01%E -0.859%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.49%EV -5.45%E -1.79%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 43.66%EV -14.95%E -7.26%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.85%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.11%EV -10.82%E -5.01%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-30 13:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.46%EV -7.00%E -2.33%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.75%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -7.62%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.62%EV -7.62%E -2.56%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.94%EV -0.088%E -0.036%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.33%EV -7.93%E -2.67%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.86%EV -2.98%E -1.27%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -0.789%E -0.220%K -0.306%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.55%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -8.55%E -2.90%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.30%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.34%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.10%E -3.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -13.30%E -6.33%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -8.55%E -2.59%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.89I 34.60%NM 31.45%EV -10.41%E -3.60%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%EV -10.49%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.72%E -3.72%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.32%E -3.54%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.65%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.78%E -1.70%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.65%E -4.09%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -7.16%E -2.14%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.61%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.16%EV -11.24%E -5.23%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.23%EV -9.93%E -3.06%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -13.20%E -4.71%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.15%EV -12.47%E -5.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -12.71%E -4.03%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 32.05%EV -16.92%E -6.31%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.04%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 28.92%EV -17.69%E -5.96%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-08-30 14:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.02% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73% | 1.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |