Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hartberg v LASK

Início: 2026-09-20 12:30 UTC

Final: Hartberg 3–3 LASK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hartberg (Local)

Previsão 12.32%8.12odd justa
EV +11.00%
Vantagem +1.22%
Kelly +1.37%
Crescimento +0.151%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.69%12.47%12.32%14.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.007.548.009.0116.67%13.27%12.50%11.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

LASK (Visitante)

Previsão 69.23%1.44odd justa
EV -5.16%
Vantagem -3.77%
Kelly -13.94%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
66.52%68.99%69.18%71.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.241.321.331.3780.65%75.92%75.19%72.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 18.45%5.42odd justa
EV -3.12%
Vantagem -0.594%
Kelly -0.734%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.37%18.53%18.51%21.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.304.945.005.2523.26%20.25%20.00%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hartberg (Local): 12.32%; LASK (Visitante): 69.23%; Empate: 18.45%. Para Hartberg (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.12. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.01, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.00%.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯9.01I 11.10%NM 10.69%EV +11.00%E +1.22%K +1.37%G +0.151%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.49%EV -3.86%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.64%E +0.198%K +0.226%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 12:09
1xBet🎯8.05I 12.42%NM 11.58%EV -0.827%E -0.103%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.58%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.66%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 12:22
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 12:09
Tipico (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -4.04%E -0.777%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 12:23
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:24
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:25
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -9.31%E -7.11%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -4.04%E -0.777%K -0.962%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 12:19
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 12:19
Bet Right🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -9.31%E -7.11%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 12:09
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:19
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:14
Suprabets🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.62%E -6.53%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -13.27%E -2.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 11:58
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -12.08%E -9.51%K -44.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -4.04%E -0.777%K -0.962%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -14.16%E -11.42%K -58.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 12:04
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -14.16%E -11.42%K -58.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 12:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -14.16%E -11.42%K -58.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -14.16%E -11.42%K -58.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 12:04
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.60%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:04
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.60%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:19
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.60%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.00%E -7.70%K -33.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 12:09
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.40%EV -10.07%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.55%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -20.65%E -4.80%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:14
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.40%EV -10.07%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.55%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -20.65%E -4.80%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:04
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -10.68%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 12:24
SportsBet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -10.68%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.02%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -13.27%E -2.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -13.76%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.16%E -3.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 12:04
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -13.76%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -18.80%E -4.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:25
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.76%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.00%E -7.70%K -33.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.35%E -2.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 11:59
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -13.76%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.00%E -7.70%K -33.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.82%EV -18.69%E -2.83%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -9.58%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 12:04
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 13.96%EV -22.39%E -3.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.13%EV -9.31%E -7.11%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.91%EV -14.19%E -3.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -23.00%E -3.68%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -4.04%E -0.777%K -0.962%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -23.00%E -3.68%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.05%EV -9.31%E -7.11%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.89%EV -14.19%E -3.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 12:08
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -26.08%E -4.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 12:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-09-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Smarkets◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.0%2026-09-20 12:14