Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hartberg v LASK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 12:30 UTC

Score final : Hartberg 3–3 LASK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hartberg (Local)

Prévision 12.32%8.12cote équitable
EV +11.00%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.151%

avec la cote maximale 9.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.69%12.47%12.32%14.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.548.009.0116.67%13.27%12.50%11.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

LASK (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.23%1.44cote équitable
EV -5.16%
Avantage -3.77%
Kelly -13.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.37

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.52%68.99%69.18%71.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.241.321.331.3780.65%75.92%75.19%72.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 18.45%5.42cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.594%
Kelly -0.734%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.37%18.53%18.51%21.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.945.005.2523.26%20.25%20.00%19.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hartberg (Local) : 12.32% ; LASK (Visiteur) : 69.23% ; Match nul : 18.45%. Pour Hartberg (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.12. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.01, soit une espérance positive de +11.00%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯9.01I 11.10%NM 10.69%EV +11.00%E +1.22%K +1.37%G +0.151%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.49%EV -3.86%E -0.740%K -0.916%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-20 12:19
Betr (AU)🎯8.25I 12.12%NM 11.52%EV +1.64%E +0.198%K +0.226%G +0.004%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.38%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 12:09
1xBet🎯8.05I 12.42%NM 11.58%EV -0.827%E -0.103%K -0.117%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.58%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.84%EV -8.66%E -1.75%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 12:22
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 11:54
Coolbet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-20 12:09
Tipico (DE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.32%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -4.04%E -0.777%K -0.962%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 12:23
Bovada🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:24
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.67%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.66%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 12:25
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -9.31%E -7.11%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -4.04%E -0.777%K -0.962%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-20 12:19
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.54%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.39%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-20 12:19
Bet Right🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.14%EV -9.31%E -7.11%K -30.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-20 12:09
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:19
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-20 12:14
Suprabets🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.41%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.16%EV -8.62%E -6.53%K -26.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.42%EV -13.27%E -2.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 11:58
Unibet (NL)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.40%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.23%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 12:04
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.32%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.28%EV -12.08%E -9.51%K -44.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -4.04%E -0.777%K -0.962%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:04
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -14.16%E -11.42%K -58.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 12:04
PMU (FR)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -14.16%E -11.42%K -58.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 12:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -14.16%E -11.42%K -58.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 12:04
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.09%EV -1.44%E -0.180%K -0.206%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.52%EV -14.16%E -11.42%K -58.99%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -5.89%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-20 12:04
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.60%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:04
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.60%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-20 12:19
betfred_uk🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.60%E -1.01%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.00%E -7.70%K -33.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-20 12:09
NordicBet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.40%EV -10.07%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.55%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -20.65%E -4.80%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:14
Betsson🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.40%EV -10.07%E -1.38%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.55%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.05%EV -20.65%E -4.80%K -6.26%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:04
BetMGM🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.85%EV -10.68%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.51%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 12:24
SportsBet🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.19%EV -10.68%E -1.47%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.02%EV -11.39%E -8.90%K -40.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.80%EV -13.27%E -2.82%K -3.59%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-20 12:14
Unibet (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.44%EV -13.76%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.16%E -3.77%K -13.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -3.12%E -0.594%K -0.734%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 12:04
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -13.76%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -5.85%E -4.30%K -16.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -18.80%E -4.27%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:25
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -13.76%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -10.00%E -7.70%K -33.35%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -12.35%E -2.60%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 11:59
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -13.76%E -1.97%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -10.00%E -7.70%K -33.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-20 11:59
Codere (IT)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.82%EV -18.69%E -2.83%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.57%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.61%EV -9.58%E -1.95%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 12:04
theScore Bet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Neds🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.84%EV -19.92%E -3.07%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.61%EV -6.54%E -4.85%K -18.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.11%E -3.29%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 12:24
Unibet (FR)🎯6.30I 15.87%NM 13.96%EV -22.39%E -3.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.13%EV -9.31%E -7.11%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.91%EV -14.19%E -3.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 12:04
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.56%EV -23.00%E -3.68%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.93%EV -7.24%E -5.40%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.51%EV -4.04%E -0.777%K -0.962%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -23.00%E -3.68%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.05%EV -9.31%E -7.11%K -30.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.89%EV -14.19%E -3.05%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 12:08
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -26.08%E -4.35%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.93%E -5.96%K -24.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -7.73%E -1.55%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-20 12:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.59%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.63%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.78%0.4%2026-09-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.40%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-09-20 12:24
Smarkets◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.0%2026-09-20 12:14