Language:English
Hartberg v Grazer AK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hartberg (Local)
Prediction 36.28%2.76fair odd
EV -2.03%
Edge -0.752%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.18%36.30%36.24%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.492.502.7042.92%40.19%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grazer AK (Visit)
Prediction 32.81%3.05fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.522%
Kelly -0.783%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.14%32.77%32.83%34.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.812.803.0040.00%35.57%35.65%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.90%3.24fair odd
EV +1.06%
Edge +0.323%
Kelly +0.465%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.27
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.33%30.93%30.94%31.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.983.003.2737.74%33.59%33.33%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hartberg (Local): 36.28%; Grazer AK (Visit): 32.81%; Draw: 30.90%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.27, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.79%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV +1.06%E +0.323%K +0.465%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.95%EV -2.22%E -0.746%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 15:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -10.01%E -4.04%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.92%E -5.38%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -12.92%E -5.38%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -10.43%E -3.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.21%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.37%EV -7.80%E -2.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.25%EV -10.07%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:42 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -2.03%E -0.752%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -14.03%E -5.36%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -17.97%E -7.19%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.65%EV -16.56%E -6.13%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.61%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.82%EV -16.33%E -6.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.58%EV -18.10%E -6.83%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.36% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.93% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.47% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.60% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |