La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Hartberg v Grazer AK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Hartberg (Local)
Predicción 36.28%2.76momio equitativo
EV -2.03%
Ventaja -0.752%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.18%36.30%36.24%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.492.502.7042.92%40.19%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grazer AK (Visitante)
Predicción 32.81%3.05momio equitativo
EV -1.57%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.783%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.14%32.77%32.83%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.812.803.0040.00%35.57%35.65%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.90%3.24momio equitativo
EV +1.06%
Ventaja +0.323%
Kelly +0.465%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.27
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.33%30.93%30.94%31.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.983.003.2737.74%33.59%33.33%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.79%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV +1.06%E +0.323%K +0.465%G +0.005% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.95%EV -2.22%E -0.746%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 15:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Bovada | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 15:53 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 15:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 15:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -10.01%E -4.04%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 05:35 |
| Betsson | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.92%E -5.38%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -12.92%E -5.38%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -10.43%E -3.82%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.21%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-21 15:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Suprabets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 32.37%EV -7.80%E -2.78%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 31.25%EV -10.07%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 15:42 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -2.03%E -0.752%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:35 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 15:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -14.03%E -5.36%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -17.97%E -7.19%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.65%EV -16.56%E -6.13%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.61%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.82%EV -16.33%E -6.40%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.58%EV -18.10%E -6.83%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.36% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 1.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.93% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.47% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.60% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |