L’École des cotes

Hartberg v Grazer AK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hartberg (Local)

Prévision 36.28%2.76cote équitable
EV -2.03%
Avantage -0.752%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.18%36.30%36.24%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.492.502.7042.92%40.19%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grazer AK (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.81%3.05cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.522%
Kelly -0.783%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.14%32.77%32.83%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.812.803.0040.00%35.57%35.65%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.90%3.24cote équitable
EV +1.06%
Avantage +0.323%
Kelly +0.465%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.33%30.93%30.94%31.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.983.003.2737.74%33.59%33.33%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.79%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.33%EV +1.06%E +0.323%K +0.465%G +0.005%4.3%2026-02-21 15:50
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.34%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.95%EV -2.22%E -0.746%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 15:45
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -3.48%E -1.31%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.27%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.33%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 15:35
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 15:50
Bovada2.55I 39.22%NM 36.83%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 15:53
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 15:55
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:55
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:34
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -13.64%E -5.73%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-21 15:55
LowVig.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 15:50
BetOnline.ag2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -1.57%E -0.522%K -0.783%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-21 15:50
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -3.85%E -1.45%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 15:54
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.43%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.60%EV -6.49%E -2.28%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-21 15:34
Codere (IT)2.48I 40.32%NM 36.65%EV -10.01%E -4.04%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.05%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.30%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:55
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:55
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:35
LeoVegas2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:35
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.76%EV -15.46%E -6.63%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 05:35
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:55
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -2.76%E -1.03%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.67%EV -8.78%E -3.16%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.91%E -2.65%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:55
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -4.85%E -1.67%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 15:55
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.13%E -2.90%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:55
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -12.92%E -5.38%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.49%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-21 15:55
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%EV -12.92%E -5.38%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.65%EV -10.43%E -3.82%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.21%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-21 15:54
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.27%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.05%EV -13.05%E -4.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.2%2026-02-21 15:55
Suprabets2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 32.37%EV -7.80%E -2.78%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.25%EV -10.07%E -3.46%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 15:42
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -2.03%E -0.752%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 15:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -5.66%E -2.18%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -9.77%E -3.55%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:55
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.47%E -2.93%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 15:50
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 15:34
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 15:55
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.41%E -4.23%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-02-21 15:55
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 35.39%EV -11.10%E -4.53%K -7.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.09%EV -14.03%E -5.36%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.53%EV -15.01%E -5.46%K -8.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -9.29%E -3.72%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -17.97%E -7.19%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.65%EV -16.56%E -6.13%K -9.74%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 15:55
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.61%EV -14.73%E -6.27%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.82%EV -16.33%E -6.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.58%EV -18.10%E -6.83%K -10.97%G +0.000%19.5%2026-02-21 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.68%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.95%1.0%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.20%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.28%1.5%2026-02-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.36%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-02-21 15:55
Smarkets2.76I 36.23%NM 34.93%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.47%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.60%3.7%2026-02-21 15:55