The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Hartberg v Austria Wien

2026-08-16 15:00 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hartberg (Local)

Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV -6.39%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.00%28.34%28.26%29.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.163.173.3133.90%31.61%31.50%30.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Wien (Visit)

Prediction 44.08%2.27fair odd
EV -5.22%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.21%44.17%44.10%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1551.28%49.07%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.64%3.62fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -0.935%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.54%27.49%27.63%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.273.5032.26%30.52%30.53%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hartberg (Local): 28.28%; Austria Wien (Visit): 44.08%; Draw: 27.64%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.50, with an expected value of -3.27%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.32%EV -6.39%E -1.93%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -5.22%E -2.43%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.07%EV -7.69%E -2.30%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-07 18:25
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -7.42%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.04%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.70%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.63%E -4.70%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -3.27%E -0.935%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-07 14:40
Fanatics🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.68%E -2.02%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -7.42%E -3.54%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -8.31%E -3.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 14:24
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.50%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.67%EV -8.31%E -3.99%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 14:25
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.75%EV -12.27%E -6.17%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -8.80%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-07 14:25
Suprabets🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 28.30%EV -11.48%E -3.67%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.21%EV -9.63%E -4.70%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 28.48%EV -14.05%E -4.52%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-07 14:24
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -13.75%E -4.51%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.03%EV -11.83%E -5.92%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.18%E -3.13%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-07 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.24%EV -13.75%E -4.51%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.16%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 27.60%EV -13.77%E -4.41%K -6.50%G +0.000%16.1%2026-08-07 14:23
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -11.83%E -5.92%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-07 15:04
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -14.04%E -7.20%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -14.33%E -4.62%K -6.82%G +0.000%16.9%2026-08-07 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -16.57%E -5.62%K -8.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.67%EV -12.71%E -6.42%K -12.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.02%EV -11.56%E -3.61%K -5.26%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-07 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.98I 33.56%NM 28.78%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.12%16.6%2026-08-07 14:25