Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hartberg v Austria Wien

Início: 2026-08-16 15:00 UTC

Final: Hartberg 0–2 Austria Wien

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Hartberg (Local)

Previsão 32.72%3.06odd justa
EV -0.852%
Vantagem -0.281%
Kelly -0.420%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.11%32.68%32.72%34.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.622.792.753.0338.17%35.87%36.36%33.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Austria Wien (Visitante)

Previsão 38.46%2.60odd justa
EV -3.46%
Vantagem -1.38%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.51

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.50%38.55%38.46%39.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.362.382.5144.44%42.33%42.02%39.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.81%3.47odd justa
EV -0.301%
Vantagem -0.087%
Kelly -0.123%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.45%28.77%28.83%29.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.173.153.4633.33%31.58%31.75%28.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Hartberg (Local): 32.72%; Austria Wien (Visitante): 38.46%; Empate: 28.81%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.47. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.46, com valor esperado de -0.301%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -0.852%E -0.281%K -0.420%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.56%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -1.83%E -0.611%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.28%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.28%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:50
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:53
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -4.45%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV -6.15%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -0.301%E -0.087%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:34
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:49
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.74%E -2.37%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 06:04
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.74%E -2.37%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:54
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.74%E -2.37%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:55
Suprabets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.03%EV -7.07%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.25%EV -10.39%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 14:48
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.53%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 13:19
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 08:29
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.25%EV -8.84%E -3.73%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 06:09
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:44
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:50
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:34
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.53%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-16 14:54
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-16 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.69%EV -10.67%E -3.91%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.53%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.51%EV -9.81%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:33
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 06:04
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 06:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 11:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -13.29%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.53%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 06:04
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 14:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-08-16 14:55