Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hartberg v Austria Wien

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-16 15:00 UTC

Score final : Hartberg 0–2 Austria Wien

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hartberg (Local)

Prévision 32.72%3.06cote équitable
EV -0.852%
Avantage -0.281%
Kelly -0.420%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.11%32.68%32.72%34.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.792.753.0338.17%35.87%36.36%33.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Austria Wien (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.46%2.60cote équitable
EV -3.46%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%38.55%38.46%39.72%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.362.382.5144.44%42.33%42.02%39.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.81%3.47cote équitable
EV -0.301%
Avantage -0.087%
Kelly -0.123%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.45%28.77%28.83%29.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.173.153.4633.33%31.58%31.75%28.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hartberg (Local) : 32.72% ; Austria Wien (Visiteur) : 38.46% ; Match nul : 28.81%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.47. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.46, pour une espérance de -0.301% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.94%EV -0.852%E -0.281%K -0.420%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.56%EV -3.46%E -1.38%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.50%EV -5.49%E -1.67%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-16 14:50
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -1.83%E -0.611%K -0.917%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 14:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.28%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.82%EV -3.14%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.28%EV -5.38%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:50
FanDuel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -3.47%E -1.18%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 14:53
1xBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -4.45%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.36%EV -6.15%E -2.52%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.75%EV -0.301%E -0.087%K -0.123%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 14:34
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 14:49
BetMGM🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -5.11%E -1.76%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-16 14:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -6.74%E -2.37%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 06:04
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.74%E -2.37%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:54
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.44%EV -6.74%E -2.37%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.21%EV -6.92%E -2.86%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.35%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:55
Suprabets🎯2.84I 35.21%NM 32.03%EV -7.07%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.25%EV -10.39%E -3.34%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 14:48
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-16 14:45
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:55
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-16 14:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.38%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.53%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 14:54
Coolbet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.84%E -1.54%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -4.91%E -1.49%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 13:19
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.69%E -3.20%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 08:29
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:50
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -8.46%E -3.55%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 11:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 38.25%EV -8.84%E -3.73%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 06:09
PlayUp🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.45%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.23%E -2.93%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-16 14:44
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.28%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -10.67%E -3.44%K -5.08%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-15 11:50
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:50
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.45%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.66%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:34
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.42%EV -11.53%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-16 14:54
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -10.01%E -3.64%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -13.56%E -4.52%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-16 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.69%EV -10.67%E -3.91%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.53%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.51%EV -9.81%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-16 14:33
Bet Right🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.77%E -2.35%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-16 13:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -6.35%E -1.95%K -2.82%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 06:04
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -9.61%E -4.09%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 06:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 11:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 11:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -11.65%E -4.31%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.17%EV -10.77%E -4.64%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -12.12%E -3.97%K -5.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-15 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -13.29%E -5.01%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.53%E -5.02%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-16 06:04
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.52%EV -14.27%E -5.45%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.03%EV -13.46%E -5.98%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -7.79%E -2.44%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 14:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.38%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.05%1.3%2026-08-16 14:55
Smarkets◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.14%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.60%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.26%2.0%2026-08-16 14:55