Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien v RB Salzburg

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 12:30 UTC

Final: Austria Wien 1–3 RB Salzburg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

48 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Austria Wien (Local)

Prediction 25.68%3.89fair odd
EV -0.098%
Edge -0.025%
Kelly -0.034%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.74%25.88%25.71%28.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.443.403.8932.79%29.05%29.41%25.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RB Salzburg (Visit)

Prediction 48.59%2.06fair odd
EV -0.399%
Edge -0.194%
Kelly -0.380%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.91%48.42%48.51%49.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.931.922.0557.80%51.85%52.08%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.73%3.89fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.515%
Kelly -0.698%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.34%25.70%25.78%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.533.503.8131.25%28.31%28.57%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Austria Wien (Local): 25.68%; RB Salzburg (Visit): 48.59%; Draw: 25.73%. For Austria Wien (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.894. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.890, with an expected value of -0.098%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -0.098%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -4.77%E -2.43%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -4.02%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 12:20
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -4.77%E -2.43%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -8.14%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 11:25
1xBet🎯3.81I 26.25%NM 25.23%EV -2.15%E -0.565%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.54%EV -5.74%E -2.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.23%EV -1.96%E -0.515%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:25
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 12:00
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 12:04
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.71%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:10
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
Suprabets🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 24.74%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.55%EV -9.14%E -4.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:18
Bovada🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.26%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 12:24
theScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:50
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:10
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -9.14%E -4.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:00
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.71%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.55%E -6.97%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 12:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.47I 28.82%NM 25.78%EV -10.88%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.34%EV -9.17%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 12:17
Winamax (DE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.63%E -5.18%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 12:00
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 12:25
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Sky Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 12:05
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.08%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -15.95%E -9.22%K -21.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -17.66%E -5.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-19 12:00
Bet Right🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:01
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.57%E -6.36%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 11:50
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 12:00
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.55%E -6.97%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 11:50
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -21.67%E -7.11%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.80%E -4.12%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-19 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.2%2026-04-19 12:25