L’École des cotes

Austria Wien v RB Salzburg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 12:30 UTC

Score final : Austria Wien 1–3 RB Salzburg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Austria Wien (Local)

Prévision 25.68%3.89cote équitable
EV -0.098%
Avantage -0.025%
Kelly -0.034%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.74%25.88%25.71%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.443.403.8932.79%29.05%29.41%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

RB Salzburg (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.59%2.06cote équitable
EV -0.399%
Avantage -0.194%
Kelly -0.380%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.91%48.42%48.51%49.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.731.931.922.0557.80%51.85%52.08%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.73%3.89cote équitable
EV -1.96%
Avantage -0.515%
Kelly -0.698%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.34%25.70%25.78%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.533.503.8131.25%28.31%28.57%26.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.83%EV -0.098%E -0.025%K -0.034%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.28%EV -4.77%E -2.43%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.89%EV -4.02%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 12:20
Coolbet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.74%EV -1.12%E -0.292%K -0.395%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.59%EV -4.77%E -2.43%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.68%EV -8.14%E -2.28%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 11:25
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 25.23%EV -2.15%E -0.565%K -0.766%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.54%EV -5.74%E -2.96%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.23%EV -1.96%E -0.515%K -0.698%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-19 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:25
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -3.69%E -0.985%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 12:25
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 12:00
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-19 12:04
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.71%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:10
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
William Hill3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.35%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 12:20
Suprabets3.67I 27.25%NM 24.74%EV -5.75%E -1.57%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.55%EV -9.14%E -4.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:18
Bovada3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -6.26%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 12:24
theScore Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.69%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 11:50
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:10
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.55%E -2.10%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -9.14%E -4.89%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:00
Betsson3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.83%E -2.49%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.71%E -3.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 12:25
Unibet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.11%E -2.89%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -12.55%E -6.97%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-19 12:04
Betclic (FR)3.47I 28.82%NM 25.78%EV -10.88%E -3.14%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.34%EV -9.17%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-19 12:17
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -11.40%E -3.30%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.63%E -5.18%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -4.79%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:50
Betr (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -3.50%E -0.935%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 12:00
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -7.69%E -4.05%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-19 12:25
Neds3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 12:00
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.89%EV -10.12%E -5.47%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -12.51%E -3.68%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 12:05
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.78%EV -11.09%E -6.06%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -15.08%E -4.57%K -6.56%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.83%EV -12.68%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.79%EV -15.95%E -9.22%K -21.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.38%EV -17.66%E -5.52%K -8.03%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-19 12:00
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -13.97%E -4.17%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.51%EV -6.23%E -3.23%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:01
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -15.25%E -4.62%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.45%EV -11.57%E -6.36%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.84%EV -8.65%E -2.44%K -3.39%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-19 11:50
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -7.20%E -3.77%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 12:00
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -16.53%E -5.09%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.69%EV -12.55%E -6.97%K -15.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.34%EV -7.36%E -2.05%K -2.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-19 11:50
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -17.82%E -5.57%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -0.399%E -0.194%K -0.380%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.94%E -2.84%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 13:00
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -19.10%E -6.06%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -1.86%E -0.919%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -11.22%E -3.25%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 13:00
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -21.67%E -7.11%K -10.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.02%EV -5.26%E -2.70%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -13.80%E -4.12%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-12 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-19 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97%1.3%2026-04-19 12:20
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.15%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%2.2%2026-04-19 12:25